The closely divided Philippine Senate, with Duterte allies holding meaningful influence amid a broader Marcos-Duterte political rift, has produced a narrow trader consensus favoring acquittal in the ongoing impeachment trial. The House transmitted four articles in May 2026 alleging betrayal of public trust, graft, bribery, and threats, and the Senate convened as an impeachment court in July; conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges. Supreme Court rulings in August cleared procedural challenges, allowing proceedings to advance, yet multiple senators face absences or legal issues that could alter vote counts. Evidence presentation on confidential funds and related matters continues into 2027, with public opinion and alliance shifts remaining key variables that could tip the balance either direction before a final vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日49% 確率
$12,170 Vol.
$12,170 Vol.
2026/12/30
49% 確率
$12,170 Vol.
$12,170 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The closely divided Philippine Senate, with Duterte allies holding meaningful influence amid a broader Marcos-Duterte political rift, has produced a narrow trader consensus favoring acquittal in the ongoing impeachment trial. The House transmitted four articles in May 2026 alleging betrayal of public trust, graft, bribery, and threats, and the Senate convened as an impeachment court in July; conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges. Supreme Court rulings in August cleared procedural challenges, allowing proceedings to advance, yet multiple senators face absences or legal issues that could alter vote counts. Evidence presentation on confidential funds and related matters continues into 2027, with public opinion and alliance shifts remaining key variables that could tip the balance either direction before a final vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
マーケット開始日： May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
音量
$12,170終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The closely divided Philippine Senate, with Duterte allies holding meaningful influence amid a broader Marcos-Duterte political rift, has produced a narrow trader consensus favoring acquittal in the ongoing impeachment trial. The House transmitted four articles in May 2026 alleging betrayal of public trust, graft, bribery, and threats, and the Senate convened as an impeachment court in July; conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges. Supreme Court rulings in August cleared procedural challenges, allowing proceedings to advance, yet multiple senators face absences or legal issues that could alter vote counts. Evidence presentation on confidential funds and related matters continues into 2027, with public opinion and alliance shifts remaining key variables that could tip the balance either direction before a final vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
音量
$12,170終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The closely divided Philippine Senate, with Duterte allies holding meaningful influence amid a broader Marcos-Duterte political rift, has produced a narrow trader consensus favoring acquittal in the ongoing impeachment trial. The House transmitted four articles in May 2026 alleging betrayal of public trust, graft, bribery, and threats, and the Senate convened as an impeachment court in July; conviction requires 16 of 24 senator-judges. Supreme Court rulings in August cleared procedural challenges, allowing proceedings to advance, yet multiple senators face absences or legal issues that could alter vote counts. Evidence presentation on confidential funds and related matters continues into 2027, with public opinion and alliance shifts remaining key variables that could tip the balance either direction before a final vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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