The S&P 500 closed near record highs around 7,786–7,799 in mid-August 2026 after a 0.65% advance to fresh peaks on August 13, supported by tame producer price inflation that reinforced trader expectations for steady Federal Reserve policy and no September rate hike. Year-to-date gains stand near 14%, driven by robust technology and AI-related earnings alongside declining oil prices, though weaker-than-expected retail sales data released August 14 prompted a modest 0.17% pullback amid lingering consumer concerns. With the VIX at subdued levels, upcoming catalysts this week—including the Empire State Manufacturing Survey, housing starts, and import prices—will likely shape near-term implied probabilities, as markets weigh continued earnings momentum against any signs of softening demand.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日SPY$772.63-0.45%
新規
$10,541 Vol.
2026/08/21
↑ $810
2%
↑ $805
1%
↑ $800
1%
↑ $795
3%
↑ $790
7%
↑ $785
16%
↑ $780
38%
↓ $770
75%
↓ $765
47%
↓ $760
21%
↓ $755
13%
↓ $750
9%
↓ $745
5%
SPY$772.63-0.45%
$10,541 Vol.
↑ $810
$418 Vol.
2%
↑ $805
$547 Vol.
1%
↑ $800
$21 Vol.
1%
↑ $795
$700 Vol.
3%
↑ $790
$1,847 Vol.
7%
↑ $785
$532 Vol.
16%
↑ $780
$990 Vol.
38%
↓ $770
$1,168 Vol.
75%
↓ $765
$1,768 Vol.
47%
↓ $760
$1,381 Vol.
21%
↓ $755
$103 Vol.
13%
↓ $750
$100 Vol.
9%
↓ $745
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 17 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.The S&P 500 closed near record highs around 7,786–7,799 in mid-August 2026 after a 0.65% advance to fresh peaks on August 13, supported by tame producer price inflation that reinforced trader expectations for steady Federal Reserve policy and no September rate hike. Year-to-date gains stand near 14%, driven by robust technology and AI-related earnings alongside declining oil prices, though weaker-than-expected retail sales data released August 14 prompted a modest 0.17% pullback amid lingering consumer concerns. With the VIX at subdued levels, upcoming catalysts this week—including the Empire State Manufacturing Survey, housing starts, and import prices—will likely shape near-term implied probabilities, as markets weigh continued earnings momentum against any signs of softening demand.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 17 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
マーケット開始日： Aug 16, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
音量
$10,541終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 6:45 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 17 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.The S&P 500 closed near record highs around 7,786–7,799 in mid-August 2026 after a 0.65% advance to fresh peaks on August 13, supported by tame producer price inflation that reinforced trader expectations for steady Federal Reserve policy and no September rate hike. Year-to-date gains stand near 14%, driven by robust technology and AI-related earnings alongside declining oil prices, though weaker-than-expected retail sales data released August 14 prompted a modest 0.17% pullback amid lingering consumer concerns. With the VIX at subdued levels, upcoming catalysts this week—including the Empire State Manufacturing Survey, housing starts, and import prices—will likely shape near-term implied probabilities, as markets weigh continued earnings momentum against any signs of softening demand.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 17 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
音量
$10,541終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 6:45 PM ETThe S&P 500 closed near record highs around 7,786–7,799 in mid-August 2026 after a 0.65% advance to fresh peaks on August 13, supported by tame producer price inflation that reinforced trader expectations for steady Federal Reserve policy and no September rate hike. Year-to-date gains stand near 14%, driven by robust technology and AI-related earnings alongside declining oil prices, though weaker-than-expected retail sales data released August 14 prompted a modest 0.17% pullback amid lingering consumer concerns. With the VIX at subdued levels, upcoming catalysts this week—including the Empire State Manufacturing Survey, housing starts, and import prices—will likely shape near-term implied probabilities, as markets weigh continued earnings momentum against any signs of softening demand.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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