Recent supply chain reports and analyst assessments from Bloomberg, JPMorgan, and others indicate Apple remains on track to unveil and launch its first foldable iPhone—likely the iPhone Ultra—alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models in September 2026. This timeline aligns with resolved engineering hurdles around the hinge mechanism and crease-free display technology, reinforced by production ramp-up signals and a shift in Apple’s premium lineup strategy. While limited initial supply or minor delays remain possible given the device’s complexity and high price point above $2,000, the absence of fresh postponement rumors in recent weeks underpins the strong market consensus for a 2026 release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
91% 確率
$286,642 Vol.
$286,642 Vol.
2026/12/30
はい
91% 確率
$286,642 Vol.
$286,642 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain reports and analyst assessments from Bloomberg, JPMorgan, and others indicate Apple remains on track to unveil and launch its first foldable iPhone—likely the iPhone Ultra—alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models in September 2026. This timeline aligns with resolved engineering hurdles around the hinge mechanism and crease-free display technology, reinforced by production ramp-up signals and a shift in Apple’s premium lineup strategy. While limited initial supply or minor delays remain possible given the device’s complexity and high price point above $2,000, the absence of fresh postponement rumors in recent weeks underpins the strong market consensus for a 2026 release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
音量
$286,642終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain reports and analyst assessments from Bloomberg, JPMorgan, and others indicate Apple remains on track to unveil and launch its first foldable iPhone—likely the iPhone Ultra—alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models in September 2026. This timeline aligns with resolved engineering hurdles around the hinge mechanism and crease-free display technology, reinforced by production ramp-up signals and a shift in Apple’s premium lineup strategy. While limited initial supply or minor delays remain possible given the device’s complexity and high price point above $2,000, the absence of fresh postponement rumors in recent weeks underpins the strong market consensus for a 2026 release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$286,642終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent supply chain reports and analyst assessments from Bloomberg, JPMorgan, and others indicate Apple remains on track to unveil and launch its first foldable iPhone—likely the iPhone Ultra—alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models in September 2026. This timeline aligns with resolved engineering hurdles around the hinge mechanism and crease-free display technology, reinforced by production ramp-up signals and a shift in Apple’s premium lineup strategy. While limited initial supply or minor delays remain possible given the device’s complexity and high price point above $2,000, the absence of fresh postponement rumors in recent weeks underpins the strong market consensus for a 2026 release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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