Traders assign a 99.7% probability to no new country joining the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, reflecting stalled normalization talks with major candidates. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any agreement on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state, while Syria and Lebanon face ongoing security tensions and internal constraints that have blocked recent U.S.-brokered advances. Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession marked the last formal expansion, and no equivalent diplomatic milestones or announcements have emerged in the final weeks of the resolution window. Late-breaking developments, such as an unanticipated signing by Somaliland or a smaller state amid shifting regional incentives, remain the primary scenarios that could still move the outcome before the deadline closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$50,486 Vol.
$50,486 Vol.
2026/07/31
はい
$50,486 Vol.
$50,486 Vol.
2026/07/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 99.7% probability to no new country joining the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, reflecting stalled normalization talks with major candidates. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any agreement on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state, while Syria and Lebanon face ongoing security tensions and internal constraints that have blocked recent U.S.-brokered advances. Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession marked the last formal expansion, and no equivalent diplomatic milestones or announcements have emerged in the final weeks of the resolution window. Late-breaking developments, such as an unanticipated signing by Somaliland or a smaller state amid shifting regional incentives, remain the primary scenarios that could still move the outcome before the deadline closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 29, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
音量
$50,486終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jun 29, 2026, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 99.7% probability to no new country joining the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, reflecting stalled normalization talks with major candidates. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any agreement on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state, while Syria and Lebanon face ongoing security tensions and internal constraints that have blocked recent U.S.-brokered advances. Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession marked the last formal expansion, and no equivalent diplomatic milestones or announcements have emerged in the final weeks of the resolution window. Late-breaking developments, such as an unanticipated signing by Somaliland or a smaller state amid shifting regional incentives, remain the primary scenarios that could still move the outcome before the deadline closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$50,486終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jun 29, 2026, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 99.7% probability to no new country joining the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, reflecting stalled normalization talks with major candidates. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any agreement on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state, while Syria and Lebanon face ongoing security tensions and internal constraints that have blocked recent U.S.-brokered advances. Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession marked the last formal expansion, and no equivalent diplomatic milestones or announcements have emerged in the final weeks of the resolution window. Late-breaking developments, such as an unanticipated signing by Somaliland or a smaller state amid shifting regional incentives, remain the primary scenarios that could still move the outcome before the deadline closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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