The primary driver shaping trader expectations for Elon Musk’s posts this week is xAI’s Grok Bot Galaxy event, a three-day San Francisco livestream starting September 15 that will show AI agents building a startup from scratch in real time. Musk has already amplified related Grok Bot updates on X and frequently highlights xAI progress alongside X platform metrics, such as record usage and subscription revenue. Additional catalysts include his planned virtual remarks at an ASML conference on Terafab chipmaking and ongoing discussions around AI power demands, Starlink expansions, and X’s discovery features. These align with Musk’s pattern of cross-promoting his companies’ technical milestones, though last-minute shifts in schedule or external news could alter the mix.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/09/20
Mexico
16%
Border
11%
Trump
29%
Sam / Altman
27%
Tweak
20%
Deport / Deported
22%
Tesla
92%
Video game / Videogame
32%
Iran / Iranian
22%
ChatGPT
17%
Texas
44%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
16%
$2,414 Vol.
Mexico
$245 Vol.
16%
Border
$525 Vol.
11%
Trump
$314 Vol.
29%
Sam / Altman
$240 Vol.
27%
Tweak
$149 Vol.
20%
Deport / Deported
$129 Vol.
22%
Tesla
$63 Vol.
92%
Video game / Videogame
$101 Vol.
32%
Iran / Iranian
$248 Vol.
22%
ChatGPT
$154 Vol.
17%
Texas
$96 Vol.
44%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$150 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between September 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.The primary driver shaping trader expectations for Elon Musk’s posts this week is xAI’s Grok Bot Galaxy event, a three-day San Francisco livestream starting September 15 that will show AI agents building a startup from scratch in real time. Musk has already amplified related Grok Bot updates on X and frequently highlights xAI progress alongside X platform metrics, such as record usage and subscription revenue. Additional catalysts include his planned virtual remarks at an ASML conference on Terafab chipmaking and ongoing discussions around AI power demands, Starlink expansions, and X’s discovery features. These align with Musk’s pattern of cross-promoting his companies’ technical milestones, though last-minute shifts in schedule or external news could alter the mix.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between September 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
音量
$2,414終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 8:11 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between September 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.The primary driver shaping trader expectations for Elon Musk’s posts this week is xAI’s Grok Bot Galaxy event, a three-day San Francisco livestream starting September 15 that will show AI agents building a startup from scratch in real time. Musk has already amplified related Grok Bot updates on X and frequently highlights xAI progress alongside X platform metrics, such as record usage and subscription revenue. Additional catalysts include his planned virtual remarks at an ASML conference on Terafab chipmaking and ongoing discussions around AI power demands, Starlink expansions, and X’s discovery features. These align with Musk’s pattern of cross-promoting his companies’ technical milestones, though last-minute shifts in schedule or external news could alter the mix.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between September 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk
Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
音量
$2,414終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 8:11 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The primary driver shaping trader expectations for Elon Musk’s posts this week is xAI’s Grok Bot Galaxy event, a three-day San Francisco livestream starting September 15 that will show AI agents building a startup from scratch in real time. Musk has already amplified related Grok Bot updates on X and frequently highlights xAI progress alongside X platform metrics, such as record usage and subscription revenue. Additional catalysts include his planned virtual remarks at an ASML conference on Terafab chipmaking and ongoing discussions around AI power demands, Starlink expansions, and X’s discovery features. These align with Musk’s pattern of cross-promoting his companies’ technical milestones, though last-minute shifts in schedule or external news could alter the mix.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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