Hikaru Nakamura and Magnus Carlsen lead the implied probabilities at 20% and 19% due to their unmatched records in Chess.com's 5+0 Titled Tuesday blitz events, where Nakamura holds the all-time win count and Carlsen secured victory on August 4. Recent results underscore the depth: Hans Niemann claimed the September 1 edition ahead of Jan-Krzysztof Duda and Aleksei Sarana, while Duda, Le Tuan Minh, and others have notched wins in prior weeks. Nakamura's repeated Bullet Brawl dominance and Carlsen's rapid/blitz focus reinforce their edge, yet the 11-round Swiss format with hundreds of titled entrants—including in-form GMs like Sarana, Duda, and Niemann—creates frequent upsets and tight leaderboards. This broad competitive field keeps probabilities clustered among top contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Hikaru Nakamura 20%
Magnus Carlsen 18.5%
Brandon Jacobson 9%
Tuomas Turunen 9%
Hikaru Nakamura
20%
Magnus Carlsen
18%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
7%
Aleksei Sarana
6%
Hans Niemann
6%
Arjun Erigaisi
6%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Ding Liren
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Fabiano Caruana
4%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
4%
Rudik Makarian
4%
Le Tuan Minh
4%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
4%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
4%
Wesley So
4%
Vincent Keymer
4%
Vladislav Artemiev
4%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
3%
Javokhir Sindarov
3%
Nihal Sarin
3%
Parham Maghsoodloo
3%
Haowen Xue
3%
Dmitry Andreikin
3%
Renato Terry Lujan
3%
Jeffery Xiong
3%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
3%
Alireza Firouzja
3%
Matthias Bluebaum
2%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
2%
Denis Lazavik
2%
Sam Sevian
2%
Sergey Sklokin
2%
Bardiya Daneshvar
2%
Jules Moussard
2%
Nikolas Theodorou
2%
Pranav Venkatesh
2%
Benjamin Bok
2%
Alexander Grischuk
2%
David Anton
2%
Dincer Tasdogen
2%
Rasmus Svane
2%
Aleksandar Indjic
2%
Frederik Svane
2%
Haik Martirosyan
2%
Dau Khuong Duy
2%
Pranesh Munirethinam
2%
Awonder Liang
2%
Andrey Esipenko
2%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
2%
Aleksandr Shimanov
2%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
2%
Aravindh Chithambaram
2%
Jose Martinez
2%
Levon Aronian
2%
Volen Dyulgerov
2%
Faustino Oro
2%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
1%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
1%
Hikaru Nakamura 20%
Magnus Carlsen 18.5%
Brandon Jacobson 9%
Tuomas Turunen 9%
Hikaru Nakamura
20%
Magnus Carlsen
18%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
7%
Aleksei Sarana
6%
Hans Niemann
6%
Arjun Erigaisi
6%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Ding Liren
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Fabiano Caruana
4%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
4%
Rudik Makarian
4%
Le Tuan Minh
4%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
4%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
4%
Wesley So
4%
Vincent Keymer
4%
Vladislav Artemiev
4%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
3%
Javokhir Sindarov
3%
Nihal Sarin
3%
Parham Maghsoodloo
3%
Haowen Xue
3%
Dmitry Andreikin
3%
Renato Terry Lujan
3%
Jeffery Xiong
3%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
3%
Alireza Firouzja
3%
Matthias Bluebaum
2%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
2%
Denis Lazavik
2%
Sam Sevian
2%
Sergey Sklokin
2%
Bardiya Daneshvar
2%
Jules Moussard
2%
Nikolas Theodorou
2%
Pranav Venkatesh
2%
Benjamin Bok
2%
Alexander Grischuk
2%
David Anton
2%
Dincer Tasdogen
2%
Rasmus Svane
2%
Aleksandar Indjic
2%
Frederik Svane
2%
Haik Martirosyan
2%
Dau Khuong Duy
2%
Pranesh Munirethinam
2%
Awonder Liang
2%
Andrey Esipenko
2%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
2%
Aleksandr Shimanov
2%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
2%
Aravindh Chithambaram
2%
Jose Martinez
2%
Levon Aronian
2%
Volen Dyulgerov
2%
Faustino Oro
2%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
1%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
1%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hikaru Nakamura and Magnus Carlsen lead the implied probabilities at 20% and 19% due to their unmatched records in Chess.com's 5+0 Titled Tuesday blitz events, where Nakamura holds the all-time win count and Carlsen secured victory on August 4. Recent results underscore the depth: Hans Niemann claimed the September 1 edition ahead of Jan-Krzysztof Duda and Aleksei Sarana, while Duda, Le Tuan Minh, and others have notched wins in prior weeks. Nakamura's repeated Bullet Brawl dominance and Carlsen's rapid/blitz focus reinforce their edge, yet the 11-round Swiss format with hundreds of titled entrants—including in-form GMs like Sarana, Duda, and Niemann—creates frequent upsets and tight leaderboards. This broad competitive field keeps probabilities clustered among top contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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