**New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) myiasis poses a direct threat to livestock, wildlife, and occasionally humans through larval infestation of living tissue.** USDA-APHIS confirmed the first U.S. animal case since the 1960s on June 3, 2026, in a calf in Zavala County, Texas, with subsequent detections expanding to multiple Texas counties and at least one in New Mexico by early June. The northward spread from endemic Central American and Mexican outbreaks that resumed in 2023 has prompted Texas Governor Abbott’s statewide disaster proclamation and federal actions including sterile insect technique (SIT) releases, port-of-entry livestock trade restrictions, and FDA emergency use authorizations for preventive animal drugs. CDC reports very low risk of local human transmission, with only travel-associated cases noted earlier. Trader focus on a federal national emergency declaration centers on whether rising case counts and economic pressure on the cattle industry will trigger presidential action under existing authorities before late-summer or year-end deadlines, with upcoming USDA surveillance updates and any new model runs on spread potential serving as key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2027/01/01
August 30
45%
10月31日
45%
December 31
47%
$1,442 Vol.
August 30
$61 Vol.
45%
10月31日
$0 Vol.
45%
December 31
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) myiasis poses a direct threat to livestock, wildlife, and occasionally humans through larval infestation of living tissue.** USDA-APHIS confirmed the first U.S. animal case since the 1960s on June 3, 2026, in a calf in Zavala County, Texas, with subsequent detections expanding to multiple Texas counties and at least one in New Mexico by early June. The northward spread from endemic Central American and Mexican outbreaks that resumed in 2023 has prompted Texas Governor Abbott’s statewide disaster proclamation and federal actions including sterile insect technique (SIT) releases, port-of-entry livestock trade restrictions, and FDA emergency use authorizations for preventive animal drugs. CDC reports very low risk of local human transmission, with only travel-associated cases noted earlier. Trader focus on a federal national emergency declaration centers on whether rising case counts and economic pressure on the cattle industry will trigger presidential action under existing authorities before late-summer or year-end deadlines, with upcoming USDA surveillance updates and any new model runs on spread potential serving as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
音量
$1,442終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) myiasis poses a direct threat to livestock, wildlife, and occasionally humans through larval infestation of living tissue.** USDA-APHIS confirmed the first U.S. animal case since the 1960s on June 3, 2026, in a calf in Zavala County, Texas, with subsequent detections expanding to multiple Texas counties and at least one in New Mexico by early June. The northward spread from endemic Central American and Mexican outbreaks that resumed in 2023 has prompted Texas Governor Abbott’s statewide disaster proclamation and federal actions including sterile insect technique (SIT) releases, port-of-entry livestock trade restrictions, and FDA emergency use authorizations for preventive animal drugs. CDC reports very low risk of local human transmission, with only travel-associated cases noted earlier. Trader focus on a federal national emergency declaration centers on whether rising case counts and economic pressure on the cattle industry will trigger presidential action under existing authorities before late-summer or year-end deadlines, with upcoming USDA surveillance updates and any new model runs on spread potential serving as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,442終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) myiasis poses a direct threat to livestock, wildlife, and occasionally humans through larval infestation of living tissue.** USDA-APHIS confirmed the first U.S. animal case since the 1960s on June 3, 2026, in a calf in Zavala County, Texas, with subsequent detections expanding to multiple Texas counties and at least one in New Mexico by early June. The northward spread from endemic Central American and Mexican outbreaks that resumed in 2023 has prompted Texas Governor Abbott’s statewide disaster proclamation and federal actions including sterile insect technique (SIT) releases, port-of-entry livestock trade restrictions, and FDA emergency use authorizations for preventive animal drugs. CDC reports very low risk of local human transmission, with only travel-associated cases noted earlier. Trader focus on a federal national emergency declaration centers on whether rising case counts and economic pressure on the cattle industry will trigger presidential action under existing authorities before late-summer or year-end deadlines, with upcoming USDA surveillance updates and any new model runs on spread potential serving as key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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