Microsoft shares closed at $481.63 on August 18 after intraday swings between $477.15 and $484.27, reflecting consolidation following the sharp post-Q4 earnings rally that lifted the stock more than 20% in early August. Strong Azure growth and AI demand drove the July beat, with revenue and EPS both exceeding consensus, though year-to-date performance remains near flat at +0.03% versus the S&P 500’s +12.36%. The August 20 ex-dividend date for the $0.91 quarterly payout introduces a modest mechanical pressure on the open, while broader tech sentiment and any pre-weekend positioning will influence whether the close exceeds nearby round-number thresholds. Analyst price targets remain elevated around $650–$700, underscoring sustained institutional focus on cloud and enterprise AI execution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/08/20
$460
98%
$470
96%
$480
85%
$490
45%
$500
11%
$27 Vol.
$460
$0 Vol.
98%
$470
$0 Vol.
96%
$480
$0 Vol.
85%
$490
$8 Vol.
45%
$500
$19 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on August 20, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft shares closed at $481.63 on August 18 after intraday swings between $477.15 and $484.27, reflecting consolidation following the sharp post-Q4 earnings rally that lifted the stock more than 20% in early August. Strong Azure growth and AI demand drove the July beat, with revenue and EPS both exceeding consensus, though year-to-date performance remains near flat at +0.03% versus the S&P 500’s +12.36%. The August 20 ex-dividend date for the $0.91 quarterly payout introduces a modest mechanical pressure on the open, while broader tech sentiment and any pre-weekend positioning will influence whether the close exceeds nearby round-number thresholds. Analyst price targets remain elevated around $650–$700, underscoring sustained institutional focus on cloud and enterprise AI execution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on August 20, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
マーケット開始日： Aug 19, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
音量
$27終了日
2026/08/20マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 8:00 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on August 20, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft shares closed at $481.63 on August 18 after intraday swings between $477.15 and $484.27, reflecting consolidation following the sharp post-Q4 earnings rally that lifted the stock more than 20% in early August. Strong Azure growth and AI demand drove the July beat, with revenue and EPS both exceeding consensus, though year-to-date performance remains near flat at +0.03% versus the S&P 500’s +12.36%. The August 20 ex-dividend date for the $0.91 quarterly payout introduces a modest mechanical pressure on the open, while broader tech sentiment and any pre-weekend positioning will influence whether the close exceeds nearby round-number thresholds. Analyst price targets remain elevated around $650–$700, underscoring sustained institutional focus on cloud and enterprise AI execution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on August 20, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
音量
$27終了日
2026/08/20マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 8:00 AM ETMicrosoft shares closed at $481.63 on August 18 after intraday swings between $477.15 and $484.27, reflecting consolidation following the sharp post-Q4 earnings rally that lifted the stock more than 20% in early August. Strong Azure growth and AI demand drove the July beat, with revenue and EPS both exceeding consensus, though year-to-date performance remains near flat at +0.03% versus the S&P 500’s +12.36%. The August 20 ex-dividend date for the $0.91 quarterly payout introduces a modest mechanical pressure on the open, while broader tech sentiment and any pre-weekend positioning will influence whether the close exceeds nearby round-number thresholds. Analyst price targets remain elevated around $650–$700, underscoring sustained institutional focus on cloud and enterprise AI execution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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