The wide-open MLB runs leader market reflects a tightly bunched group of contenders with no dominant frontrunner after more than 140 games, as top totals sit in the low-to-mid 100s and roughly two dozen players remain within striking distance entering the final stretch. Trader consensus assigns Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani the highest implied probabilities at 3.3% each, driven by their elite on-base skills, power, and lineup spots that maximize scoring opportunities despite Ohtani’s recent missed time and Judge’s limited appearances. Kyle Schwarber and Ben Rice follow closely, benefiting from strong recent form and favorable team offenses, while speedsters like Fernando Tatis Jr. and Corbin Carroll gain edges through extra-base advancement and stolen bases. Key differentiators include health, remaining schedule strength, and consistent top-of-order placement, with late surges or injuries capable of shifting outcomes in the low-scoring environment of September baseball.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Aaron Judge 3.3%
Shohei Ohtani 3.3%
Kyle Schwarber 2.8%
Drake Baldwin 2.8%
$1,681,758 Vol.
$1,681,758 Vol.
Aaron Judge
3%
Shohei Ohtani
3%
Kyle Schwarber
3%
Drake Baldwin
3%
Ben Rice
3%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2%
José Ramírez
2%
Yordan Alvarez
2%
Zach Neto
1%
José Bell
1%
Carlos Correa
1%
Byron Buxton
1%
Julio Rodríguez
1%
Luke Wood
1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Dansby Swanson
<1%
Brett Turang
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Corbin Carroll
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Mookie Betts
<1%
Bobby Witt Jr.
<1%
Randy Arozarena
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Jose Altuve
<1%
Aaron Judge 3.3%
Shohei Ohtani 3.3%
Kyle Schwarber 2.8%
Drake Baldwin 2.8%
$1,681,758 Vol.
$1,681,758 Vol.
Aaron Judge
3%
Shohei Ohtani
3%
Kyle Schwarber
3%
Drake Baldwin
3%
Ben Rice
3%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2%
José Ramírez
2%
Yordan Alvarez
2%
Zach Neto
1%
José Bell
1%
Carlos Correa
1%
Byron Buxton
1%
Julio Rodríguez
1%
Luke Wood
1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Dansby Swanson
<1%
Brett Turang
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Corbin Carroll
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Mookie Betts
<1%
Bobby Witt Jr.
<1%
Randy Arozarena
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Jose Altuve
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 22, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The wide-open MLB runs leader market reflects a tightly bunched group of contenders with no dominant frontrunner after more than 140 games, as top totals sit in the low-to-mid 100s and roughly two dozen players remain within striking distance entering the final stretch. Trader consensus assigns Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani the highest implied probabilities at 3.3% each, driven by their elite on-base skills, power, and lineup spots that maximize scoring opportunities despite Ohtani’s recent missed time and Judge’s limited appearances. Kyle Schwarber and Ben Rice follow closely, benefiting from strong recent form and favorable team offenses, while speedsters like Fernando Tatis Jr. and Corbin Carroll gain edges through extra-base advancement and stolen bases. Key differentiators include health, remaining schedule strength, and consistent top-of-order placement, with late surges or injuries capable of shifting outcomes in the low-scoring environment of September baseball.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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