Skip to main content
icon for Microsoft ( MSFT ) Q 4 Azureの収益成長(固定通貨) ?

Microsoft ( MSFT ) Q 4 Azureの収益成長(固定通貨) ?

icon for Microsoft ( MSFT ) Q 4 Azureの収益成長(固定通貨) ?

Microsoft ( MSFT ) Q 4 Azureの収益成長(固定通貨) ?

40〜42% 54%

38%~40% 30%

42~44% 12%

<38% 7%

Polymarket

$17,626 Vol.

40〜42% 54%

38%~40% 30%

42~44% 12%

<38% 7%

Polymarket

$17,626 Vol.

<38%

$247 Vol.

7%

38%~40%

$8,875 Vol.

30%

40〜42%

$5,740 Vol.

54%

42~44%

$2,611 Vol.

12%

44%以上

$152 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Microsoft's Q3 FY2026 results delivered Azure growth of 39% in constant currency, prompting management guidance of 39% to 40% for Q4 against a strong prior-year base, which anchors trader expectations around the 40%–42% outcome now holding the highest implied probability at 35.5%. Persistent AI infrastructure demand, including expanding Copilot and OpenAI workloads, supports durability, yet capacity constraints, elevated capital expenditures, and competition from AWS and Google Cloud introduce variability. Currency fluctuations and broader enterprise spending trends further contribute to the tight spread across 38%–44% buckets, reflecting real-money consensus on near-term execution risks ahead of the upcoming earnings release.

This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
音量
$17,626
終了日
2026/07/29
マーケット開始日
Jul 17, 2026, 10:00 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Microsoft's Q3 FY2026 results delivered Azure growth of 39% in constant currency, prompting management guidance of 39% to 40% for Q4 against a strong prior-year base, which anchors trader expectations around the 40%–42% outcome now holding the highest implied probability at 35.5%. Persistent AI infrastructure demand, including expanding Copilot and OpenAI workloads, supports durability, yet capacity constraints, elevated capital expenditures, and competition from AWS and Google Cloud introduce variability. Currency fluctuations and broader enterprise spending trends further contribute to the tight spread across 38%–44% buckets, reflecting real-money consensus on near-term execution risks ahead of the upcoming earnings release.

This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
音量
$17,626
終了日
2026/07/29
マーケット開始日
Jul 17, 2026, 10:00 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Microsoft ( MSFT ) Q 4 Azureの収益成長(固定通貨) ?」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「40〜42%」で54%、次いで「38%~40%」が30%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、54¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に54%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Microsoft ( MSFT ) Q 4 Azureの収益成長(固定通貨) ?」は$17.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 17, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Microsoft ( MSFT ) Q 4 Azureの収益成長(固定通貨) ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Microsoft ( MSFT ) Q 4 Azureの収益成長(固定通貨) ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「40〜42%」で54%であり、市場がこの結果に54%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「38%~40%」で30%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Microsoft ( MSFT ) Q 4 Azureの収益成長(固定通貨) ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。