The near-even 50.5% implied probability for Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes) reflects a tug-of-war between sustained collector demand for the set’s top chase and typical post-release cooling. Strong initial buyouts and Charizard brand appeal have supported prices since the Mega Evolution-themed expansion launched, yet recent August product drops—including new tins—have added supply while broader 2026 TCG volume shows mixed modern singles performance. Traders are watching September’s 30th Celebration release and any fresh grading population data or secondary market sales reports for decisive signals, as these often accelerate corrections or renewed FOMO in competitive chase cards.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日メガ・チャリザードY ex 9月30日の値上げ/値下げ？
メガ・チャリザードY ex 9月30日の値上げ/値下げ？
上がる
51% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
上がる
51% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $405.34.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).The near-even 50.5% implied probability for Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes) reflects a tug-of-war between sustained collector demand for the set’s top chase and typical post-release cooling. Strong initial buyouts and Charizard brand appeal have supported prices since the Mega Evolution-themed expansion launched, yet recent August product drops—including new tins—have added supply while broader 2026 TCG volume shows mixed modern singles performance. Traders are watching September’s 30th Celebration release and any fresh grading population data or secondary market sales reports for decisive signals, as these often accelerate corrections or renewed FOMO in competitive chase cards.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $405.34.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
音量
$513終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $405.34.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).The near-even 50.5% implied probability for Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes) reflects a tug-of-war between sustained collector demand for the set’s top chase and typical post-release cooling. Strong initial buyouts and Charizard brand appeal have supported prices since the Mega Evolution-themed expansion launched, yet recent August product drops—including new tins—have added supply while broader 2026 TCG volume shows mixed modern singles performance. Traders are watching September’s 30th Celebration release and any fresh grading population data or secondary market sales reports for decisive signals, as these often accelerate corrections or renewed FOMO in competitive chase cards.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $405.34.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $405.34.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes, Mega Hyper Rare 294/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $405.34.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
音量
$513終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The near-even 50.5% implied probability for Mega Charizard Y ex (Ascended Heroes) reflects a tug-of-war between sustained collector demand for the set’s top chase and typical post-release cooling. Strong initial buyouts and Charizard brand appeal have supported prices since the Mega Evolution-themed expansion launched, yet recent August product drops—including new tins—have added supply while broader 2026 TCG volume shows mixed modern singles performance. Traders are watching September’s 30th Celebration release and any fresh grading population data or secondary market sales reports for decisive signals, as these often accelerate corrections or renewed FOMO in competitive chase cards.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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