**Forecast models from sources including Chinese meteorological services and international providers indicate overnight lows in Shanghai for September 16 centering on 22–23°C.** This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward those outcomes, reflecting consistent guidance for partly cloudy to overcast conditions under northeast winds of 3–6 m/s. Light winds and moderate humidity (around 60–75%) limit radiative cooling overnight, while the absence of significant frontal systems or heavy precipitation keeps temperatures from dropping further. Recent model runs show minimal divergence, with most projecting the daily minimum between 21–24°C and clustering tightly near 22–23°C. Historical September averages for the city support this range, and no updated observations or ensemble shifts have altered the outlook in the past 24 hours. Traders appear to be pricing the high likelihood of resolution in that narrow band ahead of final verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日の上海の最低気温は？
9月16日の上海の最低気温は？
23℃ 59%
22℃ 35%
24℃ 7%
21℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
17℃以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
1%
21℃
6%
22℃
35%
23℃
59%
24℃
7%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃以上
<1%
23℃ 59%
22℃ 35%
24℃ 7%
21℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
17℃以下
$124 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$81 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$58 Vol.
1%
21℃
$447 Vol.
6%
22℃
$1,358 Vol.
35%
23℃
$1,703 Vol.
59%
24℃
$779 Vol.
7%
25°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$124 Vol.
<1%
27℃以上
$124 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Chinese meteorological services and international providers indicate overnight lows in Shanghai for September 16 centering on 22–23°C.** This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward those outcomes, reflecting consistent guidance for partly cloudy to overcast conditions under northeast winds of 3–6 m/s. Light winds and moderate humidity (around 60–75%) limit radiative cooling overnight, while the absence of significant frontal systems or heavy precipitation keeps temperatures from dropping further. Recent model runs show minimal divergence, with most projecting the daily minimum between 21–24°C and clustering tightly near 22–23°C. Historical September averages for the city support this range, and no updated observations or ensemble shifts have altered the outlook in the past 24 hours. Traders appear to be pricing the high likelihood of resolution in that narrow band ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$5,047終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Chinese meteorological services and international providers indicate overnight lows in Shanghai for September 16 centering on 22–23°C.** This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward those outcomes, reflecting consistent guidance for partly cloudy to overcast conditions under northeast winds of 3–6 m/s. Light winds and moderate humidity (around 60–75%) limit radiative cooling overnight, while the absence of significant frontal systems or heavy precipitation keeps temperatures from dropping further. Recent model runs show minimal divergence, with most projecting the daily minimum between 21–24°C and clustering tightly near 22–23°C. Historical September averages for the city support this range, and no updated observations or ensemble shifts have altered the outlook in the past 24 hours. Traders appear to be pricing the high likelihood of resolution in that narrow band ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,047終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models from sources including Chinese meteorological services and international providers indicate overnight lows in Shanghai for September 16 centering on 22–23°C.** This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward those outcomes, reflecting consistent guidance for partly cloudy to overcast conditions under northeast winds of 3–6 m/s. Light winds and moderate humidity (around 60–75%) limit radiative cooling overnight, while the absence of significant frontal systems or heavy precipitation keeps temperatures from dropping further. Recent model runs show minimal divergence, with most projecting the daily minimum between 21–24°C and clustering tightly near 22–23°C. Historical September averages for the city support this range, and no updated observations or ensemble shifts have altered the outlook in the past 24 hours. Traders appear to be pricing the high likelihood of resolution in that narrow band ahead of final verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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