Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a moderate overnight low for Buenos Aires on September 11, likely near 9–12 °C, driven by an approaching cold front from the southeast that increases cloud cover and shifts winds to easterly and southeasterly directions. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling while maintaining moderate humidity levels around 70–80 %, reducing the chance of sharp temperature drops. Historical September climatology shows average minima near 10–11 °C, providing context for the current setup, though model spreads on exact frontal timing create uncertainty between cooler single-digit readings and milder double-digit outcomes. Traders appear to price significant variance around this transitional spring pattern, with upcoming NHC-style regional guidance and surface observations poised to refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のブエノスアイレスの最低気温は?
7℃以下 74%
17℃以上 74%
15℃ 39%
16°C 39%
7℃以下
74%
8°C
22%
9℃
25%
10℃
25%
11℃
21%
12℃
21%
13℃
16%
14°C
14%
15℃
39%
16°C
39%
17℃以上
74%
7℃以下 74%
17℃以上 74%
15℃ 39%
16°C 39%
7℃以下
74%
8°C
22%
9℃
25%
10℃
25%
11℃
21%
12℃
21%
13℃
16%
14°C
14%
15℃
39%
16°C
39%
17℃以上
74%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a moderate overnight low for Buenos Aires on September 11, likely near 9–12 °C, driven by an approaching cold front from the southeast that increases cloud cover and shifts winds to easterly and southeasterly directions. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling while maintaining moderate humidity levels around 70–80 %, reducing the chance of sharp temperature drops. Historical September climatology shows average minima near 10–11 °C, providing context for the current setup, though model spreads on exact frontal timing create uncertainty between cooler single-digit readings and milder double-digit outcomes. Traders appear to price significant variance around this transitional spring pattern, with upcoming NHC-style regional guidance and surface observations poised to refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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