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icon for 国際原子力機関( IAEA )がイスファハン、フォルドー、またはナタンツの原子力発電所を訪問するのは... ?

国際原子力機関( IAEA )がイスファハン、フォルドー、またはナタンツの原子力発電所を訪問するのは... ?

icon for 国際原子力機関( IAEA )がイスファハン、フォルドー、またはナタンツの原子力発電所を訪問するのは... ?

国際原子力機関( IAEA )がイスファハン、フォルドー、またはナタンツの原子力発電所を訪問するのは... ?

$352,934 Vol.

2026/08/31
Polymarket

$352,934 Vol.

Polymarket

8月31日

$54,227 Vol.

1%

10月31日

$79,331 Vol.

7%

12月31日

$26,052 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's damaged nuclear facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 and subsequent operations that targeted enrichment halls and related infrastructure. Iran has limited inspector visits to unaffected sites while blocking verification at the struck locations, prompting repeated IAEA requests for entry to assess stockpiles of highly enriched uranium and any post-strike activities, particularly at Isfahan's underground complex. A June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum and interim understandings have raised prospects for resumed safeguards, with Director General Grossi indicating modalities for inspections are under discussion, though Iranian officials have signaled delays until broader agreements finalize. Trader consensus on near-term visits reflects these access barriers and negotiation timelines, tempered by potential diplomatic breakthroughs before year-end deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.

IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.

A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$352,934
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's damaged nuclear facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 and subsequent operations that targeted enrichment halls and related infrastructure. Iran has limited inspector visits to unaffected sites while blocking verification at the struck locations, prompting repeated IAEA requests for entry to assess stockpiles of highly enriched uranium and any post-strike activities, particularly at Isfahan's underground complex. A June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum and interim understandings have raised prospects for resumed safeguards, with Director General Grossi indicating modalities for inspections are under discussion, though Iranian officials have signaled delays until broader agreements finalize. Trader consensus on near-term visits reflects these access barriers and negotiation timelines, tempered by potential diplomatic breakthroughs before year-end deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.

IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.

A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$352,934
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.

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「国際原子力機関( IAEA )がイスファハン、フォルドー、またはナタンツの原子力発電所を訪問するのは... ?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で22%、次いで「10月31日」が7%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、22¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に22%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「国際原子力機関( IAEA )がイスファハン、フォルドー、またはナタンツの原子力発電所を訪問するのは... ?」は$352.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 24, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

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「国際原子力機関( IAEA )がイスファハン、フォルドー、またはナタンツの原子力発電所を訪問するのは... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で22%であり、市場がこの結果に22%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「10月31日」で7%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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