IAEA access to Iran's damaged nuclear facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 and subsequent operations that targeted enrichment halls and related infrastructure. Iran has limited inspector visits to unaffected sites while blocking verification at the struck locations, prompting repeated IAEA requests for entry to assess stockpiles of highly enriched uranium and any post-strike activities, particularly at Isfahan's underground complex. A June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum and interim understandings have raised prospects for resumed safeguards, with Director General Grossi indicating modalities for inspections are under discussion, though Iranian officials have signaled delays until broader agreements finalize. Trader consensus on near-term visits reflects these access barriers and negotiation timelines, tempered by potential diplomatic breakthroughs before year-end deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$352,934 Vol.
8月31日
1%
10月31日
7%
12月31日
22%
$352,934 Vol.
8月31日
1%
10月31日
7%
12月31日
22%
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...IAEA access to Iran's damaged nuclear facilities at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 and subsequent operations that targeted enrichment halls and related infrastructure. Iran has limited inspector visits to unaffected sites while blocking verification at the struck locations, prompting repeated IAEA requests for entry to assess stockpiles of highly enriched uranium and any post-strike activities, particularly at Isfahan's underground complex. A June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum and interim understandings have raised prospects for resumed safeguards, with Director General Grossi indicating modalities for inspections are under discussion, though Iranian officials have signaled delays until broader agreements finalize. Trader consensus on near-term visits reflects these access barriers and negotiation timelines, tempered by potential diplomatic breakthroughs before year-end deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問