Latest forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daytime high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 67.5% and 28% implied probability. Overnight clearing after Wednesday’s rain and a shift from southerly to northwesterly flow are driving the warming trend, with model consensus showing limited spread around these values and low chance of exceeding 16°C or falling below 13°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, though day-to-day variability remains influenced by cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
9月11日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
15°C 66%
14°C 23%
16°C 11%
13°C 2%
新規
$18,005 Vol.
新規
$18,005 Vol.
2026/09/11
9℃以下
<1%
10℃
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
23%
15°C
66%
16°C
11%
17℃
<1%
18℃
<1%
19℃以上
<1%
15°C 66%
14°C 23%
16°C 11%
13°C 2%
新規
$18,005 Vol.
新規
$18,005 Vol.
2026/09/11
9℃以下
$944 Vol.
<1%
10℃
$176 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,487 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,562 Vol.
2%
14°C
$2,611 Vol.
23%
15°C
$5,533 Vol.
66%
16°C
$2,543 Vol.
11%
17℃
$742 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$652 Vol.
<1%
19℃以上
$471 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daytime high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 67.5% and 28% implied probability. Overnight clearing after Wednesday’s rain and a shift from southerly to northwesterly flow are driving the warming trend, with model consensus showing limited spread around these values and low chance of exceeding 16°C or falling below 13°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, though day-to-day variability remains influenced by cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$18,005終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daytime high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 67.5% and 28% implied probability. Overnight clearing after Wednesday’s rain and a shift from southerly to northwesterly flow are driving the warming trend, with model consensus showing limited spread around these values and low chance of exceeding 16°C or falling below 13°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, though day-to-day variability remains influenced by cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$18,005終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daytime high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 67.5% and 28% implied probability. Overnight clearing after Wednesday’s rain and a shift from southerly to northwesterly flow are driving the warming trend, with model consensus showing limited spread around these values and low chance of exceeding 16°C or falling below 13°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, though day-to-day variability remains influenced by cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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