Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on July 30 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity potentially moderating peak readings. Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover support the tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, while any delay in shower development or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 37°C. Urban heat island effects and light winds further elevate surface temperatures relative to rural baselines, yet model consensus shows limited scope for extremes given the short-term steering pattern. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical July maxima averaging near 33°C, creating the balanced implied probabilities between the leading bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月30日の台北の最高気温は？
7月30日の台北の最高気温は？
35°C 32%
34°C 22%
36°C 21%
37°C or higher 14%
新規
新規
2026/07/30
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
10%
34°C
22%
35°C
32%
36°C
21%
37°C or higher
14%
35°C 32%
34°C 22%
36°C 21%
37°C or higher 14%
新規
新規
2026/07/30
27°C or below
$271 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$351 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$12 Vol.
2%
32°C
$13 Vol.
3%
33°C
$218 Vol.
10%
34°C
$3 Vol.
22%
35°C
$10 Vol.
32%
36°C
$142 Vol.
21%
37°C or higher
$119 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on July 30 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity potentially moderating peak readings. Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover support the tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, while any delay in shower development or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 37°C. Urban heat island effects and light winds further elevate surface temperatures relative to rural baselines, yet model consensus shows limited scope for extremes given the short-term steering pattern. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical July maxima averaging near 33°C, creating the balanced implied probabilities between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$1,411終了日
2026/07/30マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on July 30 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity potentially moderating peak readings. Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover support the tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, while any delay in shower development or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 37°C. Urban heat island effects and light winds further elevate surface temperatures relative to rural baselines, yet model consensus shows limited scope for extremes given the short-term steering pattern. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical July maxima averaging near 33°C, creating the balanced implied probabilities between the leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,411終了日
2026/07/30マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on July 30 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity potentially moderating peak readings. Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover support the tight clustering around 35–36°C outcomes, while any delay in shower development or stronger insolation could briefly push readings to 37°C. Urban heat island effects and light winds further elevate surface temperatures relative to rural baselines, yet model consensus shows limited scope for extremes given the short-term steering pattern. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical July maxima averaging near 33°C, creating the balanced implied probabilities between the leading bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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