Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a warm, humid southerly flow over the Northeast on June 6, with afternoon highs most likely in the 90–93 °F range across central NYC. Minor differences between the 90–91 °F and 92–93 °F bins stem from uncertainty in the timing of increasing afternoon cloud cover, the strength of any sea-breeze influence, and small variations in boundary-layer mixing within the guidance. These factors can shift peak readings by 1–2 °F, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied in trader consensus. Historical June climatology shows highs near 83 °F, so the current setup represents a several-degree positive anomaly driven by the persistent warm air mass. Updated NWS forecasts and higher-resolution model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on June 6?
92-93°F 41%
90-91°F 39%
88-89°F 10%
94-95°F 9%
$28,166 Vol.
$28,166 Vol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
39%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 41%
90-91°F 39%
88-89°F 10%
94-95°F 9%
$28,166 Vol.
$28,166 Vol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
39%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a warm, humid southerly flow over the Northeast on June 6, with afternoon highs most likely in the 90–93 °F range across central NYC. Minor differences between the 90–91 °F and 92–93 °F bins stem from uncertainty in the timing of increasing afternoon cloud cover, the strength of any sea-breeze influence, and small variations in boundary-layer mixing within the guidance. These factors can shift peak readings by 1–2 °F, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied in trader consensus. Historical June climatology shows highs near 83 °F, so the current setup represents a several-degree positive anomaly driven by the persistent warm air mass. Updated NWS forecasts and higher-resolution model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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