Official PAGASA forecasts for Manila on July 30 project a daytime high near 32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C because monsoon-driven convection and humidity typically cap extremes, reducing the diurnal temperature range compared to drier periods. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and moisture influx from the South China Sea, though minor shifts in rainfall timing or intensity could push the peak to 29°C or 33°C. Historical July averages hover near 31°C, underscoring why markets assign low probability to outliers above 34°C or below 28°C without major forecast revisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月30日のマニラの最高気温は？
7月30日のマニラの最高気温は？
31°C 32%
30℃ 30%
32℃ 19%
33℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/07/30
26°C以下
<1%
27℃
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30℃
30%
31°C
32%
32℃
19%
33℃
15%
34℃
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C以上
<1%
31°C 32%
30℃ 30%
32℃ 19%
33℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/07/30
26°C以下
$68 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$686 Vol.
3%
28°C
$8 Vol.
3%
29°C
$39 Vol.
6%
30℃
$0 Vol.
30%
31°C
$0 Vol.
32%
32℃
$1 Vol.
19%
33℃
$5 Vol.
15%
34℃
$12 Vol.
7%
35°C
$766 Vol.
<1%
36°C以上
$140 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Manila on July 30 project a daytime high near 32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C because monsoon-driven convection and humidity typically cap extremes, reducing the diurnal temperature range compared to drier periods. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and moisture influx from the South China Sea, though minor shifts in rainfall timing or intensity could push the peak to 29°C or 33°C. Historical July averages hover near 31°C, underscoring why markets assign low probability to outliers above 34°C or below 28°C without major forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$1,724終了日
2026/07/30マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Manila on July 30 project a daytime high near 32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C because monsoon-driven convection and humidity typically cap extremes, reducing the diurnal temperature range compared to drier periods. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and moisture influx from the South China Sea, though minor shifts in rainfall timing or intensity could push the peak to 29°C or 33°C. Historical July averages hover near 31°C, underscoring why markets assign low probability to outliers above 34°C or below 28°C without major forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,724終了日
2026/07/30マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 12:04 AM ETOfficial PAGASA forecasts for Manila on July 30 project a daytime high near 32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C because monsoon-driven convection and humidity typically cap extremes, reducing the diurnal temperature range compared to drier periods. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and moisture influx from the South China Sea, though minor shifts in rainfall timing or intensity could push the peak to 29°C or 33°C. Historical July averages hover near 31°C, underscoring why markets assign low probability to outliers above 34°C or below 28°C without major forecast revisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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