Recent short-range forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and GFS-influenced models indicate a high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid, favoring strong diurnal heating on September 1. This setup supports afternoon maxima near 32–33°C, consistent with historical early-September baselines around 31–33°C, though ensemble spreads and slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of peak insolation create uncertainty between 34°C and 35°C. Official monitoring from agencies such as AEMET will resolve the exact daily maximum, with trader-implied probabilities reflecting this narrow forecast window and the resolution criteria tied to verified station readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のマドリードの最高気温は？
9月1日のマドリードの最高気温は？
35°C 47%
34°C 44%
33°C 8%
36°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
8%
34°C
44%
35°C
47%
36°C
7%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 47%
34°C 44%
33°C 8%
36°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
30°C or below
$89 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$5 Vol.
5%
33°C
$0 Vol.
8%
34°C
$39 Vol.
44%
35°C
$37 Vol.
47%
36°C
$7 Vol.
7%
37°C
$0 Vol.
2%
38°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and GFS-influenced models indicate a high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid, favoring strong diurnal heating on September 1. This setup supports afternoon maxima near 32–33°C, consistent with historical early-September baselines around 31–33°C, though ensemble spreads and slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of peak insolation create uncertainty between 34°C and 35°C. Official monitoring from agencies such as AEMET will resolve the exact daily maximum, with trader-implied probabilities reflecting this narrow forecast window and the resolution criteria tied to verified station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$177終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and GFS-influenced models indicate a high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid, favoring strong diurnal heating on September 1. This setup supports afternoon maxima near 32–33°C, consistent with historical early-September baselines around 31–33°C, though ensemble spreads and slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of peak insolation create uncertainty between 34°C and 35°C. Official monitoring from agencies such as AEMET will resolve the exact daily maximum, with trader-implied probabilities reflecting this narrow forecast window and the resolution criteria tied to verified station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$177終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and GFS-influenced models indicate a high-pressure ridge with clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid, favoring strong diurnal heating on September 1. This setup supports afternoon maxima near 32–33°C, consistent with historical early-September baselines around 31–33°C, though ensemble spreads and slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of peak insolation create uncertainty between 34°C and 35°C. Official monitoring from agencies such as AEMET will resolve the exact daily maximum, with trader-implied probabilities reflecting this narrow forecast window and the resolution criteria tied to verified station readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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