**Widespread monsoon-driven cloud cover and thunderstorms expected across Lucknow on September 11 are the main factors keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 32°C and 33°C.** Official forecasts from multiple models indicate highs near 31–33°C under easterly flow, with high humidity and frequent convective activity limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. Recent surface observations show similar conditions with dew points near 26–27°C and scattered showers already suppressing temperatures. Slight model differences in the timing and coverage of storms create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 34°C or above reflect the reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日のラクナウの最高気温は?
33℃ 38%
32°C 38%
31°C 13%
34℃ 9%
26℃以下
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
1%
29℃
2%
30℃
5%
31°C
13%
32°C
38%
33℃
38%
34℃
9%
35℃
2%
36℃以上
1%
33℃ 38%
32°C 38%
31°C 13%
34℃ 9%
26℃以下
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
1%
29℃
2%
30℃
5%
31°C
13%
32°C
38%
33℃
38%
34℃
9%
35℃
2%
36℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Widespread monsoon-driven cloud cover and thunderstorms expected across Lucknow on September 11 are the main factors keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 32°C and 33°C.** Official forecasts from multiple models indicate highs near 31–33°C under easterly flow, with high humidity and frequent convective activity limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. Recent surface observations show similar conditions with dew points near 26–27°C and scattered showers already suppressing temperatures. Slight model differences in the timing and coverage of storms create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 34°C or above reflect the reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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