**Forecast model consensus for Chongqing on July 27 points to a peak near 38–39 °C under typical midsummer subtropical conditions.** High humidity and the city’s basin topography support strong daytime heating, while scattered thunderstorms—common in the East Asian monsoon regime—could limit the daily maximum by enhancing cloud cover or evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 38–39 °C threshold because small differences in convective timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the realized high by 1–2 °C. Historical July extremes in Chongqing often reach or exceed 40 °C, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while assigning lower probability to both sub-37 °C and 40 °C+ scenarios. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月27日の重慶の最高気温は?
38℃ 33%
39°C 25%
37℃ 20%
40℃ 17%
33℃以下
<1%
34℃
1%
35℃
3%
36°C
5%
37℃
20%
38℃
33%
39°C
25%
40℃
17%
41℃
4%
42°C
2%
43℃以上
2%
38℃ 33%
39°C 25%
37℃ 20%
40℃ 17%
33℃以下
<1%
34℃
1%
35℃
3%
36°C
5%
37℃
20%
38℃
33%
39°C
25%
40℃
17%
41℃
4%
42°C
2%
43℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast model consensus for Chongqing on July 27 points to a peak near 38–39 °C under typical midsummer subtropical conditions.** High humidity and the city’s basin topography support strong daytime heating, while scattered thunderstorms—common in the East Asian monsoon regime—could limit the daily maximum by enhancing cloud cover or evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 38–39 °C threshold because small differences in convective timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the realized high by 1–2 °C. Historical July extremes in Chongqing often reach or exceed 40 °C, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes while assigning lower probability to both sub-37 °C and 40 °C+ scenarios. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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