Persistent heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High are elevating trader focus on 38–39°C outcomes for Busan’s July 30 high, as official KMA warnings and recent 35°C readings confirm above-average intensity through early August. Scattered showers and monsoon moisture introduce cooling uncertainty, keeping 37°C and 40°C brackets competitive while lower probabilities cluster below 36°C. AccuWeather’s July guidance of 32–35°C highs, combined with coastal sea breezes and historical July maxima near 30°C, underscores the narrow margin between these brackets; updated short-range KMA runs and afternoon thunderstorm potential will likely refine implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月30日の釜山の最高気温は?
39℃ 36%
38℃ 33%
37°C 19%
40℃ 19%
35°C or below
5%
36℃
10%
37°C
16%
38℃
33%
39℃
31%
40℃
19%
41°C
11%
42℃
2%
43°C
1%
44℃
1%
45℃以上
<1%
39℃ 36%
38℃ 33%
37°C 19%
40℃ 19%
35°C or below
5%
36℃
10%
37°C
16%
38℃
33%
39℃
31%
40℃
19%
41°C
11%
42℃
2%
43°C
1%
44℃
1%
45℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High are elevating trader focus on 38–39°C outcomes for Busan’s July 30 high, as official KMA warnings and recent 35°C readings confirm above-average intensity through early August. Scattered showers and monsoon moisture introduce cooling uncertainty, keeping 37°C and 40°C brackets competitive while lower probabilities cluster below 36°C. AccuWeather’s July guidance of 32–35°C highs, combined with coastal sea breezes and historical July maxima near 30°C, underscores the narrow margin between these brackets; updated short-range KMA runs and afternoon thunderstorm potential will likely refine implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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