Seasonal influenza activity remains minimal in early August, driving closely matched trader odds around the 0.1 per 100,000 hospitalization threshold for Week 31. CDC FluSurv-NET data show rates declining sharply after the winter peak, reaching 0.1 per 100,000 by late May (Week 21) as community transmission drops with warmer temperatures and reduced indoor crowding. Historical patterns confirm near-zero summer baselines, though exact week-31 measurements depend on final laboratory confirmations, reporting lags, and population denominators in the surveillance network. Traders weigh these variables against any late-season outliers or model adjustments, producing the tight 46–49% spread across the three outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日インフルエンザ入院率2026年第31週？
インフルエンザ入院率2026年第31週？
0.1 50%
0.1未満 48%
>0.1 47%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
0.1未満
48%
0.1
50%
>0.1
47%
0.1 50%
0.1未満 48%
>0.1 47%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
0.1未満
$0 Vol.
48%
0.1
$0 Vol.
50%
>0.1
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Seasonal influenza activity remains minimal in early August, driving closely matched trader odds around the 0.1 per 100,000 hospitalization threshold for Week 31. CDC FluSurv-NET data show rates declining sharply after the winter peak, reaching 0.1 per 100,000 by late May (Week 21) as community transmission drops with warmer temperatures and reduced indoor crowding. Historical patterns confirm near-zero summer baselines, though exact week-31 measurements depend on final laboratory confirmations, reporting lags, and population denominators in the surveillance network. Traders weigh these variables against any late-season outliers or model adjustments, producing the tight 46–49% spread across the three outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
マーケット開始日： Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Seasonal influenza activity remains minimal in early August, driving closely matched trader odds around the 0.1 per 100,000 hospitalization threshold for Week 31. CDC FluSurv-NET data show rates declining sharply after the winter peak, reaching 0.1 per 100,000 by late May (Week 21) as community transmission drops with warmer temperatures and reduced indoor crowding. Historical patterns confirm near-zero summer baselines, though exact week-31 measurements depend on final laboratory confirmations, reporting lags, and population denominators in the surveillance network. Traders weigh these variables against any late-season outliers or model adjustments, producing the tight 46–49% spread across the three outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seasonal influenza activity remains minimal in early August, driving closely matched trader odds around the 0.1 per 100,000 hospitalization threshold for Week 31. CDC FluSurv-NET data show rates declining sharply after the winter peak, reaching 0.1 per 100,000 by late May (Week 21) as community transmission drops with warmer temperatures and reduced indoor crowding. Historical patterns confirm near-zero summer baselines, though exact week-31 measurements depend on final laboratory confirmations, reporting lags, and population denominators in the surveillance network. Traders weigh these variables against any late-season outliers or model adjustments, producing the tight 46–49% spread across the three outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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