The 2026 Formula 1 regulations' emphasis on active aero, reduced downforce, and stricter energy harvesting limits has created substantial uncertainty heading into Monza qualifying, where straight-line speed and power deployment on long straights reward precise power unit calibration and low-drag setups. Mercedes drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell lead the standings, reflecting strong early-season adaptation, yet rivals including Ferrari, McLaren, and Red Bull have posted competitive qualifying laps at power-sensitive venues. New Cadillac entry and mid-pack teams like Alpine and Aston Martin sit within a narrow implied probability band because minor differences in ERS management, tire warm-up, and track-specific wing modes can flip pole contention. Recent FIA tweaks to qualifying energy recovery have further compressed the field by curbing dramatic pace swings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Williams 48%
Alpine 48%
Aston Martin 48%
Racing Bulls 47%
Williams
48%
Alpine
48%
Aston Martin
48%
Racing Bulls
47%
Cadillac
45%
Tgr Haas
45%
Mclaren Mastercard
44%
Ferrari
44%
Mercedes
44%
Red Bull
44%
Audi Revolut
42%
Williams 48%
Alpine 48%
Aston Martin 48%
Racing Bulls 47%
Williams
48%
Alpine
48%
Aston Martin
48%
Racing Bulls
47%
Cadillac
45%
Tgr Haas
45%
Mclaren Mastercard
44%
Ferrari
44%
Mercedes
44%
Red Bull
44%
Audi Revolut
42%
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
マーケット開始日: Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
The 2026 Formula 1 regulations' emphasis on active aero, reduced downforce, and stricter energy harvesting limits has created substantial uncertainty heading into Monza qualifying, where straight-line speed and power deployment on long straights reward precise power unit calibration and low-drag setups. Mercedes drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell lead the standings, reflecting strong early-season adaptation, yet rivals including Ferrari, McLaren, and Red Bull have posted competitive qualifying laps at power-sensitive venues. New Cadillac entry and mid-pack teams like Alpine and Aston Martin sit within a narrow implied probability band because minor differences in ERS management, tire warm-up, and track-specific wing modes can flip pole contention. Recent FIA tweaks to qualifying energy recovery have further compressed the field by curbing dramatic pace swings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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