Matúš Vallo, the incumbent backed by the Team Bratislava-PS-SaS-Demokrati coalition, holds the highest implied probability at 44.5% in the Bratislava mayoral race ahead of the October 24, 2026, vote. Recent registration of six candidates—including Jozef Ráž (linked to the national Smer-led government), Martin Winkler (Dunaj), Zuzana Šubová (Pirátska strana), Miroslav Heredoš (Vlastenecký blok), and Ľubomír Geci—plus Dana Čahojová’s late withdrawal to reduce opposition fragmentation, has kept the field crowded. Earlier 2026 polls showed Vallo leading by double digits, yet trader pricing reflects ongoing risks from vote splitting among challengers, national political polarization, and Bratislava’s history of competitive local contests. Scheduled confirmation of the full candidate list by early September could further clarify consolidation efforts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マトゥシュ・ヴァッロ 45%
ダナ・チャホヨヴァ 26%
Ľubomír Geci 26%
ミロスラフ・ヘレドシュ 26%
新規
新規
2026/10/24
マトゥシュ・ヴァッロ
45%
ダナ・チャホヨヴァ
26%
Ľubomír Geci
26%
ミロスラフ・ヘレドシュ
26%
マーティン・ウィンクラー
25%
ズザナ・シュボヴァ
25%
ヨゼフ・ラージュ
24%
マトゥシュ・ヴァッロ 45%
ダナ・チャホヨヴァ 26%
Ľubomír Geci 26%
ミロスラフ・ヘレドシュ 26%
新規
新規
2026/10/24
マトゥシュ・ヴァッロ
$0 Vol.
45%
ダナ・チャホヨヴァ
$0 Vol.
26%
Ľubomír Geci
$0 Vol.
26%
ミロスラフ・ヘレドシュ
$0 Vol.
26%
マーティン・ウィンクラー
$0 Vol.
25%
ズザナ・シュボヴァ
$0 Vol.
25%
ヨゼフ・ラージュ
$0 Vol.
24%
The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).Matúš Vallo, the incumbent backed by the Team Bratislava-PS-SaS-Demokrati coalition, holds the highest implied probability at 44.5% in the Bratislava mayoral race ahead of the October 24, 2026, vote. Recent registration of six candidates—including Jozef Ráž (linked to the national Smer-led government), Martin Winkler (Dunaj), Zuzana Šubová (Pirátska strana), Miroslav Heredoš (Vlastenecký blok), and Ľubomír Geci—plus Dana Čahojová’s late withdrawal to reduce opposition fragmentation, has kept the field crowded. Earlier 2026 polls showed Vallo leading by double digits, yet trader pricing reflects ongoing risks from vote splitting among challengers, national political polarization, and Bratislava’s history of competitive local contests. Scheduled confirmation of the full candidate list by early September could further clarify consolidation efforts.
The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/24マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETThe 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).Matúš Vallo, the incumbent backed by the Team Bratislava-PS-SaS-Demokrati coalition, holds the highest implied probability at 44.5% in the Bratislava mayoral race ahead of the October 24, 2026, vote. Recent registration of six candidates—including Jozef Ráž (linked to the national Smer-led government), Martin Winkler (Dunaj), Zuzana Šubová (Pirátska strana), Miroslav Heredoš (Vlastenecký blok), and Ľubomír Geci—plus Dana Čahojová’s late withdrawal to reduce opposition fragmentation, has kept the field crowded. Earlier 2026 polls showed Vallo leading by double digits, yet trader pricing reflects ongoing risks from vote splitting among challengers, national political polarization, and Bratislava’s history of competitive local contests. Scheduled confirmation of the full candidate list by early September could further clarify consolidation efforts.
The 2026 Bratislava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Bratislava as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Bratislava, Bratislava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/24マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETMatúš Vallo, the incumbent backed by the Team Bratislava-PS-SaS-Demokrati coalition, holds the highest implied probability at 44.5% in the Bratislava mayoral race ahead of the October 24, 2026, vote. Recent registration of six candidates—including Jozef Ráž (linked to the national Smer-led government), Martin Winkler (Dunaj), Zuzana Šubová (Pirátska strana), Miroslav Heredoš (Vlastenecký blok), and Ľubomír Geci—plus Dana Čahojová’s late withdrawal to reduce opposition fragmentation, has kept the field crowded. Earlier 2026 polls showed Vallo leading by double digits, yet trader pricing reflects ongoing risks from vote splitting among challengers, national political polarization, and Bratislava’s history of competitive local contests. Scheduled confirmation of the full candidate list by early September could further clarify consolidation efforts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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