Amazon shares closed August 21 near $258.63 following Q2 results that showed 20% revenue growth to $200.6 billion and AWS sales surging 37% year-over-year, its fastest pace in 18 quarters. Trader positioning clusters around $260–$265 at 25% implied probability, reflecting post-earnings consolidation amid heavy AI infrastructure spending and recent price action between $257 and $266. With no major catalysts until later earnings or macroeconomic data, the tight spread across adjacent bins underscores uncertainty over short-term momentum, sector rotation in tech, and margin pressures from elevated capital expenditures. Market-implied odds treat current levels as a base case while pricing modest upside from sustained cloud and advertising trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$255-$260 26%
$250-$255 22%
$260-$265 18%
$265-$270 13%
<$235
10%
$235-$240
7%
$240-$245
8%
$245-$250
12%
$250-$255
22%
$255-$260
26%
$260-$265
18%
$265-$270
13%
$270-$275
10%
$275-$280
10%
>$280
10%
$255-$260 26%
$250-$255 22%
$260-$265 18%
$265-$270 13%
<$235
10%
$235-$240
7%
$240-$245
8%
$245-$250
12%
$250-$255
22%
$255-$260
26%
$260-$265
18%
$265-$270
13%
$270-$275
10%
$275-$280
10%
>$280
10%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.
Amazon shares closed August 21 near $258.63 following Q2 results that showed 20% revenue growth to $200.6 billion and AWS sales surging 37% year-over-year, its fastest pace in 18 quarters. Trader positioning clusters around $260–$265 at 25% implied probability, reflecting post-earnings consolidation amid heavy AI infrastructure spending and recent price action between $257 and $266. With no major catalysts until later earnings or macroeconomic data, the tight spread across adjacent bins underscores uncertainty over short-term momentum, sector rotation in tech, and margin pressures from elevated capital expenditures. Market-implied odds treat current levels as a base case while pricing modest upside from sustained cloud and advertising trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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