Zohran Mamdani assumed the New York City mayoralty on January 1, 2026, following a decisive 2025 electoral victory, with his term extending through 2030. Trader consensus at 95.5% against an early exit reflects the structural stability of mayoral terms, absence of straightforward recall provisions, and early indicators of continuity including balanced budget negotiations, small-business grant programs, and successful congressional endorsements. Recent polling after roughly 200 days in office shows net-positive or stable job approval among voters. While the next municipal election remains years away, factors that could still shift probabilities include a major scandal, acute health event, or court ruling that prompts resignation or removal within the narrow window before 2027.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoZohran Mamdani in carica come sindaco di New York prima del 2027?
Zohran Mamdani in carica come sindaco di New York prima del 2027?
Sì
5% probabilità
$70,058 Vol.
$70,058 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sì
5% probabilità
$70,058 Vol.
$70,058 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Zohran Mamdani assumed the New York City mayoralty on January 1, 2026, following a decisive 2025 electoral victory, with his term extending through 2030. Trader consensus at 95.5% against an early exit reflects the structural stability of mayoral terms, absence of straightforward recall provisions, and early indicators of continuity including balanced budget negotiations, small-business grant programs, and successful congressional endorsements. Recent polling after roughly 200 days in office shows net-positive or stable job approval among voters. While the next municipal election remains years away, factors that could still shift probabilities include a major scandal, acute health event, or court ruling that prompts resignation or removal within the narrow window before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 5:25 PM ET
Volume
$70,058Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Zohran Mamdani assumed the New York City mayoralty on January 1, 2026, following a decisive 2025 electoral victory, with his term extending through 2030. Trader consensus at 95.5% against an early exit reflects the structural stability of mayoral terms, absence of straightforward recall provisions, and early indicators of continuity including balanced budget negotiations, small-business grant programs, and successful congressional endorsements. Recent polling after roughly 200 days in office shows net-positive or stable job approval among voters. While the next municipal election remains years away, factors that could still shift probabilities include a major scandal, acute health event, or court ruling that prompts resignation or removal within the narrow window before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$70,058Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Zohran Mamdani assumed the New York City mayoralty on January 1, 2026, following a decisive 2025 electoral victory, with his term extending through 2030. Trader consensus at 95.5% against an early exit reflects the structural stability of mayoral terms, absence of straightforward recall provisions, and early indicators of continuity including balanced budget negotiations, small-business grant programs, and successful congressional endorsements. Recent polling after roughly 200 days in office shows net-positive or stable job approval among voters. While the next municipal election remains years away, factors that could still shift probabilities include a major scandal, acute health event, or court ruling that prompts resignation or removal within the narrow window before 2027.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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