Recent U.S. sanctions relief and the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro have driven a rebound in Venezuelan crude output, with production rising to roughly 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day by mid-2026 amid eased export licenses for Chevron and other firms. Reforms to the hydrocarbons law aim to attract foreign capital by reducing taxes and enabling private participation, though meaningful gains beyond current levels require billions in infrastructure upgrades that typically take years. Oil prices, trading volumes, and U.S. policy shifts under the new administration remain key swing factors, while analyst projections see only modest upside to 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end without sustained investment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$182,397 Vol.
27 feb 2027
1,2 milioni
64%
1,3 milioni
20%
1,4 milioni
8%
1,5 milioni
6%
1,7 milioni
3%
2 milioni
2%
$182,397 Vol.
1,2 milioni
$10,444 Vol.
64%
1,3 milioni
$7,721 Vol.
20%
1,4 milioni
$19,774 Vol.
8%
1,5 milioni
$9,719 Vol.
6%
1,7 milioni
$58,787 Vol.
3%
2 milioni
$16,314 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief and the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro have driven a rebound in Venezuelan crude output, with production rising to roughly 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day by mid-2026 amid eased export licenses for Chevron and other firms. Reforms to the hydrocarbons law aim to attract foreign capital by reducing taxes and enabling private participation, though meaningful gains beyond current levels require billions in infrastructure upgrades that typically take years. Oil prices, trading volumes, and U.S. policy shifts under the new administration remain key swing factors, while analyst projections see only modest upside to 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end without sustained investment.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Mercato aperto: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Volume
$182,397Data di fine
28 feb 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief and the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro have driven a rebound in Venezuelan crude output, with production rising to roughly 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day by mid-2026 amid eased export licenses for Chevron and other firms. Reforms to the hydrocarbons law aim to attract foreign capital by reducing taxes and enabling private participation, though meaningful gains beyond current levels require billions in infrastructure upgrades that typically take years. Oil prices, trading volumes, and U.S. policy shifts under the new administration remain key swing factors, while analyst projections see only modest upside to 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end without sustained investment.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Volume
$182,397Data di fine
28 feb 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. sanctions relief and the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro have driven a rebound in Venezuelan crude output, with production rising to roughly 1.1–1.2 million barrels per day by mid-2026 amid eased export licenses for Chevron and other firms. Reforms to the hydrocarbons law aim to attract foreign capital by reducing taxes and enabling private participation, though meaningful gains beyond current levels require billions in infrastructure upgrades that typically take years. Oil prices, trading volumes, and U.S. policy shifts under the new administration remain key swing factors, while analyst projections see only modest upside to 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end without sustained investment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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