Islam Makhachev’s position as the overwhelming favorite to remain UFC welterweight champion through the end of 2026 stems from his permanent move up from lightweight, where he captured the 170-pound title in November 2025 and defended it via unanimous decision against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330 in August 2026. The 34-year-old extended his UFC win streak to 17 while adding muscle under coach Javier Mendez, easing weight cuts and committing to frequent bouts at welterweight. Recent activity by top contenders such as Carlos Prates and undefeated Michael Morales has yet to produce a clear threat capable of dethroning him before year-end, though an injury, late-career slowdown, or upset finish from a power striker could still alter the outcome. Trader consensus reflects Makhachev’s proven grappling control and divisional dominance as the primary drivers of this probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIslam Makhachev 89.5%
Carlos Prates 10.4%
Michael Morales <1%
Ian Machado Garry <1%
$634,775 Vol.
$634,775 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
90%
Carlos Prates
10%
Michael Morales
<1%
Ian Machado Garry
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Gabriel Bonfim
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Islam Makhachev 89.5%
Carlos Prates 10.4%
Michael Morales <1%
Ian Machado Garry <1%
$634,775 Vol.
$634,775 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
90%
Carlos Prates
10%
Michael Morales
<1%
Ian Machado Garry
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Gabriel Bonfim
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev’s position as the overwhelming favorite to remain UFC welterweight champion through the end of 2026 stems from his permanent move up from lightweight, where he captured the 170-pound title in November 2025 and defended it via unanimous decision against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330 in August 2026. The 34-year-old extended his UFC win streak to 17 while adding muscle under coach Javier Mendez, easing weight cuts and committing to frequent bouts at welterweight. Recent activity by top contenders such as Carlos Prates and undefeated Michael Morales has yet to produce a clear threat capable of dethroning him before year-end, though an injury, late-career slowdown, or upset finish from a power striker could still alter the outcome. Trader consensus reflects Makhachev’s proven grappling control and divisional dominance as the primary drivers of this probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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