Justin Gaethje’s status as the current undisputed UFC Lightweight champion, secured via a fourth-round TKO upset over previously unbeaten Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250 in June 2026 and an earlier interim title win over Paddy Pimblett, anchors trader consensus at 85.2%. The 37-year-old’s recent form, striking volume, and durability in high-stakes main events reinforce expectations he will hold the belt through year-end. Contenders such as Arman Tsarukyan, Charles Oliveira, and Topuria sit far behind due to ranking gaps and recent results, though Gaethje’s age, potential injuries, or a single loss in a mandatory defense could rapidly shift the division landscape before December 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJustin Gaethje 85.1%
Mauricio Ruffy 6.0%
Charles Oliveira 5.5%
Ilia Topuria 4.7%
$671,774 Vol.
$671,774 Vol.
Ilia Topuria
5%
Arman Tsarukyan
3%
Charles Oliveira
5%
Max Holloway
<1%
Justin Gaethje
85%
Paddy Pimblett
2%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis
<1%
Rafael Fiziev
<1%
Renato Moicano
<1%
Mauricio Ruffy
6%
Justin Gaethje 85.1%
Mauricio Ruffy 6.0%
Charles Oliveira 5.5%
Ilia Topuria 4.7%
$671,774 Vol.
$671,774 Vol.
Ilia Topuria
5%
Arman Tsarukyan
3%
Charles Oliveira
5%
Max Holloway
<1%
Justin Gaethje
85%
Paddy Pimblett
2%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis
<1%
Rafael Fiziev
<1%
Renato Moicano
<1%
Mauricio Ruffy
6%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Justin Gaethje’s status as the current undisputed UFC Lightweight champion, secured via a fourth-round TKO upset over previously unbeaten Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250 in June 2026 and an earlier interim title win over Paddy Pimblett, anchors trader consensus at 85.2%. The 37-year-old’s recent form, striking volume, and durability in high-stakes main events reinforce expectations he will hold the belt through year-end. Contenders such as Arman Tsarukyan, Charles Oliveira, and Topuria sit far behind due to ranking gaps and recent results, though Gaethje’s age, potential injuries, or a single loss in a mandatory defense could rapidly shift the division landscape before December 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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