Tom Aspinall's status as the undisputed UFC heavyweight champion, solidified by Jon Jones' retirement in August 2026, anchors trader sentiment at 54.5% implied probability for year-end titleholder. Aspinall's return to full training after eye surgery from the October 2025 no-contest against Ciryl Gane positions him for a likely unification bout, where his prior interim title win and overall record give him the edge in the eyes of bettors. Gane's 38.5% reflects his interim title capture via second-round TKO of Alex Pereira in June plus strong recent form, though his three prior failed title opportunities and the rematch dynamics temper the outlook. Lower-ranked contenders like Alexander Volkov trail due to limited path to a title shot before year's end amid the division's focus on the top two.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTom Aspinall 55%
Ciryl Gane 39%
Alexander Volkov 3.9%
Serghei Spivac <1%
$337,655 Vol.
$337,655 Vol.
Tom Aspinall
55%
Ciryl Gane
39%
Alexander Volkov
4%
Serghei Spivac
1%
Josh Hokit
<1%
Tyrell Fortune
<1%
Rizvan Kuniev
<1%
Curtis Blaydes
<1%
Marcin Tybura
<1%
Sergei Pavlovich
<1%
Jailton Almeida
<1%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
<1%
Ante Delija
<1%
Derrick Lewis
<1%
Tom Aspinall 55%
Ciryl Gane 39%
Alexander Volkov 3.9%
Serghei Spivac <1%
$337,655 Vol.
$337,655 Vol.
Tom Aspinall
55%
Ciryl Gane
39%
Alexander Volkov
4%
Serghei Spivac
1%
Josh Hokit
<1%
Tyrell Fortune
<1%
Rizvan Kuniev
<1%
Curtis Blaydes
<1%
Marcin Tybura
<1%
Sergei Pavlovich
<1%
Jailton Almeida
<1%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
<1%
Ante Delija
<1%
Derrick Lewis
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Aspinall's status as the undisputed UFC heavyweight champion, solidified by Jon Jones' retirement in August 2026, anchors trader sentiment at 54.5% implied probability for year-end titleholder. Aspinall's return to full training after eye surgery from the October 2025 no-contest against Ciryl Gane positions him for a likely unification bout, where his prior interim title win and overall record give him the edge in the eyes of bettors. Gane's 38.5% reflects his interim title capture via second-round TKO of Alex Pereira in June plus strong recent form, though his three prior failed title opportunities and the rematch dynamics temper the outlook. Lower-ranked contenders like Alexander Volkov trail due to limited path to a title shot before year's end amid the division's focus on the top two.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti