Petr Yan holds the UFC bantamweight title after reclaiming it via unanimous decision over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, completing an extended comeback that positions him as the frontrunner to remain champion through 2026. Trader consensus reflects Yan's improved takedown defense and pace control against Dvalishvili's high-volume wrestling style, alongside his experience in title fights. Dvalishvili ranks as the primary threat due to his prior reign, multiple 2025 defenses, and confirmed interest in a trilogy bout, though his recent loss tempers expectations. Lower probabilities for Sean O'Malley, Song Yadong, and others stem from limited recent title contention activity and the depth of the division's ranked contenders, including Umar Nurmagomedov. Market pricing aligns with the current champion's edge in a stacked weight class where upsets remain possible.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPetr Yan 59%
Merab Dvalishvili 39%
Sean O'Malley 3.8%
Song Yadong <1%
$452,075 Vol.
$452,075 Vol.
Petr Yan
59%
Merab Dvalishvili
39%
Sean O'Malley
4%
Song Yadong
1%
David Martinez
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Marlon Vera
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Umar Nurmagomedov
<1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Petr Yan 59%
Merab Dvalishvili 39%
Sean O'Malley 3.8%
Song Yadong <1%
$452,075 Vol.
$452,075 Vol.
Petr Yan
59%
Merab Dvalishvili
39%
Sean O'Malley
4%
Song Yadong
1%
David Martinez
1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Marlon Vera
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Umar Nurmagomedov
<1%
Mario Bautista
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan holds the UFC bantamweight title after reclaiming it via unanimous decision over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, completing an extended comeback that positions him as the frontrunner to remain champion through 2026. Trader consensus reflects Yan's improved takedown defense and pace control against Dvalishvili's high-volume wrestling style, alongside his experience in title fights. Dvalishvili ranks as the primary threat due to his prior reign, multiple 2025 defenses, and confirmed interest in a trilogy bout, though his recent loss tempers expectations. Lower probabilities for Sean O'Malley, Song Yadong, and others stem from limited recent title contention activity and the depth of the division's ranked contenders, including Umar Nurmagomedov. Market pricing aligns with the current champion's edge in a stacked weight class where upsets remain possible.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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