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Dove si trasferirà Julian Alvarez?

icon for Dove si trasferirà Julian Alvarez?

Dove si trasferirà Julian Alvarez?

Atletico Madrid 65.8%

Barcelona 26%

Arsenal 3.3%

Chelsea <1%

Polymarket

$173,941 Vol.

Atletico Madrid 65.8%

Barcelona 26%

Arsenal 3.3%

Chelsea <1%

Polymarket

$173,941 Vol.

Atletico Madrid

$75,265 Vol.

66%

Barcelona

$51,619 Vol.

19%

Arsenal

$20,512 Vol.

3%

Chelsea

$8,131 Vol.

<1%

Real Madrid

$10,346 Vol.

<1%

Manchester City

$8,068 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next team Julian Alvarez officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Julian Alvarez does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Atletico Madrid". If Julian Alvarez joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Julian Alvarez is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Atletico Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.Atlético Madrid's firm refusal to sell Julián Álvarez despite his public transfer request and preference for Barcelona has driven the 66.5% implied probability he remains at the club. The Argentine striker, under contract until 2030 after his 2024 move from Manchester City, has held talks with Diego Simeone while pushing to join the Catalans before the window closes, yet Atlético rejected Barcelona bids reaching €120 million and earlier €150 million overtures from Real Madrid. Arsenal dropped out amid the high valuation, leaving limited realistic alternatives. Recent training resumption and postponed meetings underscore the standoff, with Atlético's stance and the player's leverage shaping trader consensus around a stay or blocked move.

This market will resolve to the next team Julian Alvarez officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If Julian Alvarez does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Atletico Madrid".

If Julian Alvarez joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".

If Julian Alvarez is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Atletico Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Volume
$173,941
Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next team Julian Alvarez officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Julian Alvarez does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Atletico Madrid". If Julian Alvarez joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Julian Alvarez is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Atletico Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the next team Julian Alvarez officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Julian Alvarez does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Atletico Madrid". If Julian Alvarez joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Julian Alvarez is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Atletico Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.Atlético Madrid's firm refusal to sell Julián Álvarez despite his public transfer request and preference for Barcelona has driven the 66.5% implied probability he remains at the club. The Argentine striker, under contract until 2030 after his 2024 move from Manchester City, has held talks with Diego Simeone while pushing to join the Catalans before the window closes, yet Atlético rejected Barcelona bids reaching €120 million and earlier €150 million overtures from Real Madrid. Arsenal dropped out amid the high valuation, leaving limited realistic alternatives. Recent training resumption and postponed meetings underscore the standoff, with Atlético's stance and the player's leverage shaping trader consensus around a stay or blocked move.

This market will resolve to the next team Julian Alvarez officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If Julian Alvarez does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Atletico Madrid".

If Julian Alvarez joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".

If Julian Alvarez is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Atletico Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Volume
$173,941
Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next team Julian Alvarez officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Julian Alvarez does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Atletico Madrid". If Julian Alvarez joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Julian Alvarez is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Atletico Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

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Domande frequenti

"Dove si trasferirà Julian Alvarez?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Atletico Madrid" a 66%, seguito da "Barcelona" a 19%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 66¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 66% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Dove si trasferirà Julian Alvarez?" ha generato $173.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 15, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Dove si trasferirà Julian Alvarez?", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Dove si trasferirà Julian Alvarez?" è "Atletico Madrid" a 66%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 66% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Barcelona" a 19%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Dove si trasferirà Julian Alvarez?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.