Recent NYC housing data through July 2026 show median sale prices ranging from roughly $850,000 to $907,000 across sources, with Zillow’s typical home value at $832,934 (up 3.9% year-over-year) amid persistently tight inventory and low transaction volumes. Elevated mortgage rates continue to constrain buyer demand while limited supply supports modest price gains, creating uncertainty around the exact September 30 reading. The near-even split between the $636K–$663K and $663K–$689K bins reflects this narrow range of possible outcomes, driven by seasonal listing patterns, neighborhood-level variance, and whether late-summer closings push the median across the $663K threshold. Key upcoming catalysts include any August or early September economic releases on rates or employment that could influence final transaction activity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$663K - $689K 45.6%
636.000$ - 663.000$ 38.0%
$609K - $636K 6.1%
$689K+ 3.9%
$64,818 Vol.
$64,818 Vol.
<$555.000
14%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
7%
636.000$ - 663.000$
36%
$663K - $689K
46%
$689K+
4%
$663K - $689K 45.6%
636.000$ - 663.000$ 38.0%
$609K - $636K 6.1%
$689K+ 3.9%
$64,818 Vol.
$64,818 Vol.
<$555.000
14%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
7%
636.000$ - 663.000$
36%
$663K - $689K
46%
$689K+
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Mercato aperto: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent NYC housing data through July 2026 show median sale prices ranging from roughly $850,000 to $907,000 across sources, with Zillow’s typical home value at $832,934 (up 3.9% year-over-year) amid persistently tight inventory and low transaction volumes. Elevated mortgage rates continue to constrain buyer demand while limited supply supports modest price gains, creating uncertainty around the exact September 30 reading. The near-even split between the $636K–$663K and $663K–$689K bins reflects this narrow range of possible outcomes, driven by seasonal listing patterns, neighborhood-level variance, and whether late-summer closings push the median across the $663K threshold. Key upcoming catalysts include any August or early September economic releases on rates or employment that could influence final transaction activity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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