Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Quale sarà il valore medio della casa a New York il 30 settembre?

Quale sarà il valore medio della casa a New York il 30 settembre?

icon for Quale sarà il valore medio della casa a New York il 30 settembre?

Quale sarà il valore medio della casa a New York il 30 settembre?

$663K - $689K 45.6%

636.000$ - 663.000$ 38.0%

$609K - $636K 6.1%

$689K+ 3.9%

Polymarket

$64,818 Vol.

$663K - $689K 45.6%

636.000$ - 663.000$ 38.0%

$609K - $636K 6.1%

$689K+ 3.9%

Polymarket

$64,818 Vol.

<$555.000

$1,096 Vol.

14%

$555K - $582K

$2,516 Vol.

3%

$582K - $609K

$1,036 Vol.

1%

$609K - $636K

$8,914 Vol.

7%

636.000$ - 663.000$

$33,899 Vol.

36%

$663K - $689K

$9,103 Vol.

46%

$689K+

$8,254 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent NYC housing data through July 2026 show median sale prices ranging from roughly $850,000 to $907,000 across sources, with Zillow’s typical home value at $832,934 (up 3.9% year-over-year) amid persistently tight inventory and low transaction volumes. Elevated mortgage rates continue to constrain buyer demand while limited supply supports modest price gains, creating uncertainty around the exact September 30 reading. The near-even split between the $636K–$663K and $663K–$689K bins reflects this narrow range of possible outcomes, driven by seasonal listing patterns, neighborhood-level variance, and whether late-summer closings push the median across the $663K threshold. Key upcoming catalysts include any August or early September economic releases on rates or employment that could influence final transaction activity.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Volume
$64,818
Data di fine
30 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent NYC housing data through July 2026 show median sale prices ranging from roughly $850,000 to $907,000 across sources, with Zillow’s typical home value at $832,934 (up 3.9% year-over-year) amid persistently tight inventory and low transaction volumes. Elevated mortgage rates continue to constrain buyer demand while limited supply supports modest price gains, creating uncertainty around the exact September 30 reading. The near-even split between the $636K–$663K and $663K–$689K bins reflects this narrow range of possible outcomes, driven by seasonal listing patterns, neighborhood-level variance, and whether late-summer closings push the median across the $663K threshold. Key upcoming catalysts include any August or early September economic releases on rates or employment that could influence final transaction activity.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Volume
$64,818
Data di fine
30 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Quale sarà il valore medio della casa a New York il 30 settembre?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "$663K - $689K" a 46%, seguito da "636.000$ - 663.000$" a 36%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 46¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 46% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Quale sarà il valore medio della casa a New York il 30 settembre?" ha generato $64.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 1, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Quale sarà il valore medio della casa a New York il 30 settembre?", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Quale sarà il valore medio della casa a New York il 30 settembre?" è "$663K - $689K" a 46%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 46% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "636.000$ - 663.000$" a 36%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Quale sarà il valore medio della casa a New York il 30 settembre?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.