Walmart's U.S. comparable sales ex-fuel for the fiscal second quarter ending early August 2026 remain closely contested in prediction markets, with the 7.5%+ and 4.5%-6% buckets leading at 45.5% and 42.5% implied probability. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around sustained grocery and health-and-wellness momentum alongside e-commerce contribution near 420 basis points, tempered by softer average ticket growth, elevated fuel costs absorbing operating income, and conservative full-year guidance of 3.5%-4.5% constant-currency sales expansion. Recent Q1 results at 4.1% comps and analyst consensus near 3.8% highlight downside risks from frugal consumer behavior and potential retail inflation, while upside hinges on transaction volume and unit growth outpacing peers amid competitive pressure from discount and online retailers. Key resolution catalysts include the August 20 earnings release and any revisions to operating income or membership trends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato4,5%-6% 43%
3%-4,5% 40%
6%-7,5% 39%
Superiore al 7,5% 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
<3%
14%
3%-4,5%
40%
4,5%-6%
43%
6%-7,5%
39%
Superiore al 7,5%
28%
4,5%-6% 43%
3%-4,5% 40%
6%-7,5% 39%
Superiore al 7,5% 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 ago 2026
<3%
$50 Vol.
14%
3%-4,5%
$0 Vol.
40%
4,5%-6%
$0 Vol.
43%
6%-7,5%
$0 Vol.
39%
Superiore al 7,5%
$0 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Walmart's U.S. comparable sales ex-fuel for the fiscal second quarter ending early August 2026 remain closely contested in prediction markets, with the 7.5%+ and 4.5%-6% buckets leading at 45.5% and 42.5% implied probability. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around sustained grocery and health-and-wellness momentum alongside e-commerce contribution near 420 basis points, tempered by softer average ticket growth, elevated fuel costs absorbing operating income, and conservative full-year guidance of 3.5%-4.5% constant-currency sales expansion. Recent Q1 results at 4.1% comps and analyst consensus near 3.8% highlight downside risks from frugal consumer behavior and potential retail inflation, while upside hinges on transaction volume and unit growth outpacing peers amid competitive pressure from discount and online retailers. Key resolution catalysts include the August 20 earnings release and any revisions to operating income or membership trends.
This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$50Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Walmart's U.S. comparable sales ex-fuel for the fiscal second quarter ending early August 2026 remain closely contested in prediction markets, with the 7.5%+ and 4.5%-6% buckets leading at 45.5% and 42.5% implied probability. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around sustained grocery and health-and-wellness momentum alongside e-commerce contribution near 420 basis points, tempered by softer average ticket growth, elevated fuel costs absorbing operating income, and conservative full-year guidance of 3.5%-4.5% constant-currency sales expansion. Recent Q1 results at 4.1% comps and analyst consensus near 3.8% highlight downside risks from frugal consumer behavior and potential retail inflation, while upside hinges on transaction volume and unit growth outpacing peers amid competitive pressure from discount and online retailers. Key resolution catalysts include the August 20 earnings release and any revisions to operating income or membership trends.
This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$50Data di fine
20 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Walmart's U.S. comparable sales ex-fuel for the fiscal second quarter ending early August 2026 remain closely contested in prediction markets, with the 7.5%+ and 4.5%-6% buckets leading at 45.5% and 42.5% implied probability. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around sustained grocery and health-and-wellness momentum alongside e-commerce contribution near 420 basis points, tempered by softer average ticket growth, elevated fuel costs absorbing operating income, and conservative full-year guidance of 3.5%-4.5% constant-currency sales expansion. Recent Q1 results at 4.1% comps and analyst consensus near 3.8% highlight downside risks from frugal consumer behavior and potential retail inflation, while upside hinges on transaction volume and unit growth outpacing peers amid competitive pressure from discount and online retailers. Key resolution catalysts include the August 20 earnings release and any revisions to operating income or membership trends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti