**TX-09 is an open seat in the 2026 cycle after redistricting prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to run elsewhere.** The new map shifted the Houston-area district toward Republican performance, creating structural advantages for the GOP nominee. Alex Mealer secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the primary and runoff, while Democrat Leticia Gutierrez emerged from her party's primary. These developments have shaped trader consensus, with the Republican outcome priced at 80% reflecting the district's altered partisan baseline, the absence of an entrenched incumbent, and the timing of primaries that locked in candidates months ahead of the November general election. No major late-breaking events have altered the positioning since the spring primaries.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-09 House Election Winner
TX-09 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Republican Party
$6,497 Vol.
80%
Democratic Party
$3,372 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**TX-09 is an open seat in the 2026 cycle after redistricting prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to run elsewhere.** The new map shifted the Houston-area district toward Republican performance, creating structural advantages for the GOP nominee. Alex Mealer secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the primary and runoff, while Democrat Leticia Gutierrez emerged from her party's primary.
These developments have shaped trader consensus, with the Republican outcome priced at 80% reflecting the district's altered partisan baseline, the absence of an entrenched incumbent, and the timing of primaries that locked in candidates months ahead of the November general election. No major late-breaking events have altered the positioning since the spring primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$9,869Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**TX-09 is an open seat in the 2026 cycle after redistricting prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to run elsewhere.** The new map shifted the Houston-area district toward Republican performance, creating structural advantages for the GOP nominee. Alex Mealer secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the primary and runoff, while Democrat Leticia Gutierrez emerged from her party's primary.
These developments have shaped trader consensus, with the Republican outcome priced at 80% reflecting the district's altered partisan baseline, the absence of an entrenched incumbent, and the timing of primaries that locked in candidates months ahead of the November general election. No major late-breaking events have altered the positioning since the spring primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,869Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**TX-09 is an open seat in the 2026 cycle after redistricting prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Al Green to run elsewhere.** The new map shifted the Houston-area district toward Republican performance, creating structural advantages for the GOP nominee. Alex Mealer secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the primary and runoff, while Democrat Leticia Gutierrez emerged from her party's primary. These developments have shaped trader consensus, with the Republican outcome priced at 80% reflecting the district's altered partisan baseline, the absence of an entrenched incumbent, and the timing of primaries that locked in candidates months ahead of the November general election. No major late-breaking events have altered the positioning since the spring primaries.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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