The Quintana Roo gubernatorial contest, scheduled for June 2027, remains tightly balanced in trader pricing because the outcome hinges primarily on Morena’s internal nomination process rather than a competitive general election. Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña, on leave as Benito Juárez municipal president, and Senator Eugenio Segura Vázquez lead early internal preference surveys and broader name-recognition metrics, with recent party registration and polling showing only narrow gaps between them and trailing aspirants such as Rafael Marín Mollinedo and Mayuli Martínez Simón. Fragmented opposition and Morena’s structural advantage keep the field open until the party finalizes its candidate through surveys and delegate selection. Upcoming internal polls, formal endorsements, or shifts in federal party dynamics could quickly consolidate support behind one contender and move probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAna Patricia Peralta de la Peña 39%
Eugenio Segura Vázquez 36%
Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux 20.8%
José Luis Pech Várguez 17%

Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña
39%

Eugenio Segura Vázquez
36%

Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux
21%

José Luis Pech Várguez
14%

Mayuli Martínez Simón
10%

Rafael Marín Mollinedo
8%

Reyna Tamayo Carballo
8%

Lidia Rojas Fabro
5%

Alexa Murguía Trujillo
5%

Amalia Castilla Madrid
4%

Pedro José Flota Alcocer
4%

Filiberto Martínez Méndez
4%

Estefanía Mercado Asencio
2%

Marybel Villegas Canché
2%

David Ortiz Mena
30%

Leslie Hendricks Rubio
27%
Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña 39%
Eugenio Segura Vázquez 36%
Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux 20.8%
José Luis Pech Várguez 17%

Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña
39%

Eugenio Segura Vázquez
36%

Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux
21%

José Luis Pech Várguez
14%

Mayuli Martínez Simón
10%

Rafael Marín Mollinedo
8%

Reyna Tamayo Carballo
8%

Lidia Rojas Fabro
5%

Alexa Murguía Trujillo
5%

Amalia Castilla Madrid
4%

Pedro José Flota Alcocer
4%

Filiberto Martínez Méndez
4%

Estefanía Mercado Asencio
2%

Marybel Villegas Canché
2%

David Ortiz Mena
30%

Leslie Hendricks Rubio
27%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Quintana Roo gubernatorial contest, scheduled for June 2027, remains tightly balanced in trader pricing because the outcome hinges primarily on Morena’s internal nomination process rather than a competitive general election. Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña, on leave as Benito Juárez municipal president, and Senator Eugenio Segura Vázquez lead early internal preference surveys and broader name-recognition metrics, with recent party registration and polling showing only narrow gaps between them and trailing aspirants such as Rafael Marín Mollinedo and Mayuli Martínez Simón. Fragmented opposition and Morena’s structural advantage keep the field open until the party finalizes its candidate through surveys and delegate selection. Upcoming internal polls, formal endorsements, or shifts in federal party dynamics could quickly consolidate support behind one contender and move probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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