Mixed reviews for Adam Wingard’s A24 action-horror film, which opened September 4 on Labor Day weekend, have anchored trader expectations for a modest domestic debut. Critics gave the $15 million production a 54% Rotten Tomatoes score and 60 on Metacritic, praising stylish gore and Adria Arjona’s lead turn while noting narrative thinness that limits breakout potential. Labor Day typically delivers soft theater traffic, and early tracking plus comparable A24 genre releases point to limited marketing lift. The 69.5% market-implied probability for a 2–3 million opening reflects this consensus, with the 30.5% chance below 2 million capturing downside risk if word-of-mouth stays muted through the holiday frame. Higher brackets remain negligible given the competitive landscape and audience fatigue for mid-budget thrillers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoBox Office del weekend di apertura di "Onslaught"
Box Office del weekend di apertura di "Onslaught"
2-3 milioni 68%
<2 milioni 31%
3-4 milioni <1%
5-6 milioni <1%
$13,279 Vol.
$13,279 Vol.
6 set 2026
<2 milioni
31%
2-3 milioni
68%
3-4 milioni
1%
4-5 milioni
<1%
5-6 milioni
<1%
6 milioni+
<1%
2-3 milioni 68%
<2 milioni 31%
3-4 milioni <1%
5-6 milioni <1%
$13,279 Vol.
$13,279 Vol.
6 set 2026
<2 milioni
$3,118 Vol.
31%
2-3 milioni
$3,135 Vol.
68%
3-4 milioni
$3,186 Vol.
1%
4-5 milioni
$1,572 Vol.
<1%
5-6 milioni
$1,424 Vol.
<1%
6 milioni+
$874 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Mixed reviews for Adam Wingard’s A24 action-horror film, which opened September 4 on Labor Day weekend, have anchored trader expectations for a modest domestic debut. Critics gave the $15 million production a 54% Rotten Tomatoes score and 60 on Metacritic, praising stylish gore and Adria Arjona’s lead turn while noting narrative thinness that limits breakout potential. Labor Day typically delivers soft theater traffic, and early tracking plus comparable A24 genre releases point to limited marketing lift. The 69.5% market-implied probability for a 2–3 million opening reflects this consensus, with the 30.5% chance below 2 million capturing downside risk if word-of-mouth stays muted through the holiday frame. Higher brackets remain negligible given the competitive landscape and audience fatigue for mid-budget thrillers.
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$13,279Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Mixed reviews for Adam Wingard’s A24 action-horror film, which opened September 4 on Labor Day weekend, have anchored trader expectations for a modest domestic debut. Critics gave the $15 million production a 54% Rotten Tomatoes score and 60 on Metacritic, praising stylish gore and Adria Arjona’s lead turn while noting narrative thinness that limits breakout potential. Labor Day typically delivers soft theater traffic, and early tracking plus comparable A24 genre releases point to limited marketing lift. The 69.5% market-implied probability for a 2–3 million opening reflects this consensus, with the 30.5% chance below 2 million capturing downside risk if word-of-mouth stays muted through the holiday frame. Higher brackets remain negligible given the competitive landscape and audience fatigue for mid-budget thrillers.
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$13,279Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Mixed reviews for Adam Wingard’s A24 action-horror film, which opened September 4 on Labor Day weekend, have anchored trader expectations for a modest domestic debut. Critics gave the $15 million production a 54% Rotten Tomatoes score and 60 on Metacritic, praising stylish gore and Adria Arjona’s lead turn while noting narrative thinness that limits breakout potential. Labor Day typically delivers soft theater traffic, and early tracking plus comparable A24 genre releases point to limited marketing lift. The 69.5% market-implied probability for a 2–3 million opening reflects this consensus, with the 30.5% chance below 2 million capturing downside risk if word-of-mouth stays muted through the holiday frame. Higher brackets remain negligible given the competitive landscape and audience fatigue for mid-budget thrillers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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