Google’s unveiling of Gemini 3.5 Pro at I/O on May 19, with general availability targeted for June, remains the dominant driver of market odds, yet the model stays in limited preview and internal testing as of early June. Traders assign the highest probability to no release by June 30, reflecting Google’s pattern of cautious rollouts, historical timeline slippage on frontier models, and the need for extended safety and capability validation before broad deployment. Competitive pressure from leading large language models at other labs adds urgency, while upcoming developer conferences and earnings commentary could serve as near-term catalysts. The tight spread between late-June dates and a no-release outcome underscores ongoing uncertainty around exact timing and final model readiness.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoProssimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato il...?
Prossimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato il...?
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 giugno 20.5%
23 giugno 19%
30 giugno 13%
16 giugno 9%
$90,422 Vol.
$90,422 Vol.
30 giu 2026
8 giugno
1%
9 giugno
1%
10 giugno
1%
11 giugno
4%
12 giugno
1%
13 giugno
<1%
14 giugno
<1%
15 giugno
1%
16 giugno
9%
17 giugno
8%
18 giugno
7%
19 giugno
1%
20 giugno
1%
21 giugno
1%
22 giugno
1%
23 giugno
19%
24 giugno
5%
25 giugno
1%
26 giugno
7%
27 giugno
1%
28 giugno
<1%
29 giugno
1%
30 giugno
13%
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 giugno
21%
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 giugno 20.5%
23 giugno 19%
30 giugno 13%
16 giugno 9%
$90,422 Vol.
$90,422 Vol.
30 giu 2026
8 giugno
$1,185 Vol.
1%
9 giugno
$18,607 Vol.
1%
10 giugno
$1,243 Vol.
1%
11 giugno
$1,785 Vol.
4%
12 giugno
$1,867 Vol.
1%
13 giugno
$2,492 Vol.
<1%
14 giugno
$2,301 Vol.
<1%
15 giugno
$1,152 Vol.
1%
16 giugno
$2,461 Vol.
9%
17 giugno
$2,372 Vol.
8%
18 giugno
$2,097 Vol.
7%
19 giugno
$2,126 Vol.
1%
20 giugno
$1,173 Vol.
1%
21 giugno
$929 Vol.
1%
22 giugno
$1,858 Vol.
1%
23 giugno
$3,331 Vol.
19%
24 giugno
$2,270 Vol.
5%
25 giugno
$1,097 Vol.
1%
26 giugno
$2,778 Vol.
7%
27 giugno
$1,839 Vol.
1%
28 giugno
$953 Vol.
<1%
29 giugno
$1,372 Vol.
1%
30 giugno
$4,351 Vol.
13%
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 giugno
$12,107 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s unveiling of Gemini 3.5 Pro at I/O on May 19, with general availability targeted for June, remains the dominant driver of market odds, yet the model stays in limited preview and internal testing as of early June. Traders assign the highest probability to no release by June 30, reflecting Google’s pattern of cautious rollouts, historical timeline slippage on frontier models, and the need for extended safety and capability validation before broad deployment. Competitive pressure from leading large language models at other labs adds urgency, while upcoming developer conferences and earnings commentary could serve as near-term catalysts. The tight spread between late-June dates and a no-release outcome underscores ongoing uncertainty around exact timing and final model readiness.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Volume
$90,422Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s unveiling of Gemini 3.5 Pro at I/O on May 19, with general availability targeted for June, remains the dominant driver of market odds, yet the model stays in limited preview and internal testing as of early June. Traders assign the highest probability to no release by June 30, reflecting Google’s pattern of cautious rollouts, historical timeline slippage on frontier models, and the need for extended safety and capability validation before broad deployment. Competitive pressure from leading large language models at other labs adds urgency, while upcoming developer conferences and earnings commentary could serve as near-term catalysts. The tight spread between late-June dates and a no-release outcome underscores ongoing uncertainty around exact timing and final model readiness.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$90,422Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s unveiling of Gemini 3.5 Pro at I/O on May 19, with general availability targeted for June, remains the dominant driver of market odds, yet the model stays in limited preview and internal testing as of early June. Traders assign the highest probability to no release by June 30, reflecting Google’s pattern of cautious rollouts, historical timeline slippage on frontier models, and the need for extended safety and capability validation before broad deployment. Competitive pressure from leading large language models at other labs adds urgency, while upcoming developer conferences and earnings commentary could serve as near-term catalysts. The tight spread between late-June dates and a no-release outcome underscores ongoing uncertainty around exact timing and final model readiness.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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