Bennie Thompson's long incumbency since 1993, combined with Mississippi's 2nd District's consistent Democratic lean and majority-minority demographics centered on the Delta and Jackson, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Thompson secured the nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary against challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III, demonstrating sustained party support and fundraising advantages. Republican nominee Ron Eller, a repeat candidate, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by analysts. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health concerns for the 77-year-old incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though these remain low-probability factors in the current cycle ahead of the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMS-02 House Election Winner
MS-02 House Election Winner
$36,191 Vol.
$36,191 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
$36,191 Vol.
$36,191 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$21,374 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$14,817 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson's long incumbency since 1993, combined with Mississippi's 2nd District's consistent Democratic lean and majority-minority demographics centered on the Delta and Jackson, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Thompson secured the nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary against challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III, demonstrating sustained party support and fundraising advantages. Republican nominee Ron Eller, a repeat candidate, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by analysts. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health concerns for the 77-year-old incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though these remain low-probability factors in the current cycle ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$36,191Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson's long incumbency since 1993, combined with Mississippi's 2nd District's consistent Democratic lean and majority-minority demographics centered on the Delta and Jackson, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Thompson secured the nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary against challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III, demonstrating sustained party support and fundraising advantages. Republican nominee Ron Eller, a repeat candidate, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by analysts. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health concerns for the 77-year-old incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though these remain low-probability factors in the current cycle ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,191Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bennie Thompson's long incumbency since 1993, combined with Mississippi's 2nd District's consistent Democratic lean and majority-minority demographics centered on the Delta and Jackson, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Thompson secured the nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary against challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III, demonstrating sustained party support and fundraising advantages. Republican nominee Ron Eller, a repeat candidate, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by analysts. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health concerns for the 77-year-old incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though these remain low-probability factors in the current cycle ahead of the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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