Maryland's deep Democratic lean and the strong position of incumbent Governor Wes Moore drive the market's overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Moore secured renomination easily in the June 2026 primary, setting up a rematch with Republican nominee Dan Cox, who emerged from a crowded GOP field. Historical voting patterns, the state's partisan composition, and Moore's established record as the first Black governor contribute to the current implied probabilities. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the gap include a major scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift favoring Republicans, though such developments remain low-probability based on available evidence ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$21,760 Vol.
$21,760 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratico
96%
Repubblicano
3%
$21,760 Vol.
$21,760 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratico
$12,727 Vol.
96%
Repubblicano
$9,034 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Maryland's deep Democratic lean and the strong position of incumbent Governor Wes Moore drive the market's overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Moore secured renomination easily in the June 2026 primary, setting up a rematch with Republican nominee Dan Cox, who emerged from a crowded GOP field. Historical voting patterns, the state's partisan composition, and Moore's established record as the first Black governor contribute to the current implied probabilities. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the gap include a major scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift favoring Republicans, though such developments remain low-probability based on available evidence ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$21,760Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Maryland's deep Democratic lean and the strong position of incumbent Governor Wes Moore drive the market's overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Moore secured renomination easily in the June 2026 primary, setting up a rematch with Republican nominee Dan Cox, who emerged from a crowded GOP field. Historical voting patterns, the state's partisan composition, and Moore's established record as the first Black governor contribute to the current implied probabilities. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the gap include a major scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift favoring Republicans, though such developments remain low-probability based on available evidence ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$21,760Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's deep Democratic lean and the strong position of incumbent Governor Wes Moore drive the market's overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Moore secured renomination easily in the June 2026 primary, setting up a rematch with Republican nominee Dan Cox, who emerged from a crowded GOP field. Historical voting patterns, the state's partisan composition, and Moore's established record as the first Black governor contribute to the current implied probabilities. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the gap include a major scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift favoring Republicans, though such developments remain low-probability based on available evidence ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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