Recent forecast runs from Met Office and GFS models show London experiencing mild overnight conditions under southerly flow and variable cloud cover, with temperatures bottoming near 14–15 °C early on September 6. This places the day well above the 1991–2020 climatological minimum of roughly 12 °C and limits radiative cooling. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15 °C at 72 % because observed dawn readings have stabilized around that level and no sharp frontal passage or clear-sky radiative drop is expected before midnight. Traders are monitoring the final Met Office hourly observations and any late-model adjustments through the evening for confirmation of the daily low.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 6 settembre?
15°C 99%
14°C 7%
13°C 1.0%
12°C <1%
10°C o inferiore
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
7%
15°C
99%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 99%
14°C 7%
13°C 1.0%
12°C <1%
10°C o inferiore
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
7%
15°C
99%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from Met Office and GFS models show London experiencing mild overnight conditions under southerly flow and variable cloud cover, with temperatures bottoming near 14–15 °C early on September 6. This places the day well above the 1991–2020 climatological minimum of roughly 12 °C and limits radiative cooling. Market-implied odds heavily favor 15 °C at 72 % because observed dawn readings have stabilized around that level and no sharp frontal passage or clear-sky radiative drop is expected before midnight. Traders are monitoring the final Met Office hourly observations and any late-model adjustments through the evening for confirmation of the daily low.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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