Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 21 overnight minimum near 13–15°C, with model spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover, wind patterns, and any lingering frontal systems that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher. This tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around those thresholds captures the typical mid-summer baseline for the city, where radiative cooling under clear skies competes with urban heat retention and Atlantic air masses. Upcoming model runs and updated observations over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts likely to sharpen or shift the distribution before the market resolves.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 21 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 21 luglio?
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$33,561 Vol.
$33,561 Vol.
21 lug 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$33,561 Vol.
$33,561 Vol.
21 lug 2026
10°C or below
$510 Vol.
No
11°C
$510 Vol.
No
12°C
$2,732 Vol.
No
13°C
$6,143 Vol.
No
14°C
$7,148 Vol.
No
15°C
$8,495 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$4,419 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,214 Vol.
No
18°C
$576 Vol.
No
19°C
$503 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$1,311 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 21 overnight minimum near 13–15°C, with model spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover, wind patterns, and any lingering frontal systems that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher. This tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around those thresholds captures the typical mid-summer baseline for the city, where radiative cooling under clear skies competes with urban heat retention and Atlantic air masses. Upcoming model runs and updated observations over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts likely to sharpen or shift the distribution before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$33,561Data di fine
21 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 21 overnight minimum near 13–15°C, with model spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover, wind patterns, and any lingering frontal systems that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher. This tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around those thresholds captures the typical mid-summer baseline for the city, where radiative cooling under clear skies competes with urban heat retention and Atlantic air masses. Upcoming model runs and updated observations over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts likely to sharpen or shift the distribution before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,561Data di fine
21 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 21 overnight minimum near 13–15°C, with model spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover, wind patterns, and any lingering frontal systems that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher. This tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around those thresholds captures the typical mid-summer baseline for the city, where radiative cooling under clear skies competes with urban heat retention and Atlantic air masses. Upcoming model runs and updated observations over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts likely to sharpen or shift the distribution before the market resolves.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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