Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C in Guangzhou on September 12, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 24.5°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. With no active cold fronts, typhoon influences, or anomalous steering patterns expected, the outlook favors stable overnight temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Trader consensus shows near-even odds between sub-18°C and 28°C+ bins alongside clustered probabilities around 23–25°C, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer cooling and urban heat-island effects. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to official station measurements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 12 settembre?
18°C o inferiore 87%
28°C o superiore 87%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
87%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
21%
23°C
21%
24°C
26%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C o superiore
87%
18°C o inferiore 87%
28°C o superiore 87%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
87%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
21%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C in Guangzhou on September 12, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 24.5°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. With no active cold fronts, typhoon influences, or anomalous steering patterns expected, the outlook favors stable overnight temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Trader consensus shows near-even odds between sub-18°C and 28°C+ bins alongside clustered probabilities around 23–25°C, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer cooling and urban heat-island effects. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C in Guangzhou on September 12, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 24.5°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. With no active cold fronts, typhoon influences, or anomalous steering patterns expected, the outlook favors stable overnight temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Trader consensus shows near-even odds between sub-18°C and 28°C+ bins alongside clustered probabilities around 23–25°C, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer cooling and urban heat-island effects. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C in Guangzhou on September 12, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 24.5°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. With no active cold fronts, typhoon influences, or anomalous steering patterns expected, the outlook favors stable overnight temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Trader consensus shows near-even odds between sub-18°C and 28°C+ bins alongside clustered probabilities around 23–25°C, reflecting model spread in boundary-layer cooling and urban heat-island effects. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to official station measurements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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