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Politica·Krakao

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia
Politica·Krakao

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia

Daria Gosek-Popiołek 32%

Jan Hoffman 32%

Łukasz Gibała 32%

Michał Drewnicki 32%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Daria Gosek-Popiołek 32%

Jan Hoffman 32%

Łukasz Gibała 32%

Michał Drewnicki 32%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Daria Gosek-Popiołek

Daria Gosek-Popiołek

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for Jan Hoffman

Jan Hoffman

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for Łukasz Gibała

Łukasz Gibała

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for Michał Drewnicki

Michał Drewnicki

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for Monika Piątkowska

Monika Piątkowska

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$97 Vol.

27%

icon for Marianna Schreiber

Marianna Schreiber

$97 Vol.

27%

icon for Bartosz Bocheńczak

Bartosz Bocheńczak

$96 Vol.

27%

icon for Marian Banaś

Marian Banaś

$113 Vol.

24%

icon for Michał Klimek

Michał Klimek

$94 Vol.

22%

icon for Aleksandra Owca

Aleksandra Owca

$93 Vol.

22%

icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$95 Vol.

22%

icon for Rafał Sonik

Rafał Sonik

$95 Vol.

22%

icon for Marta Ratuszyńska

Marta Ratuszyńska

$95 Vol.

22%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$83 Vol.

22%

icon for Rafał Komarewicz

Rafał Komarewicz

$95 Vol.

27%

icon for Sławomir Pietrzyk

Sławomir Pietrzyk

$95 Vol.

22%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.The 2026 Kraków mayoral election, scheduled for 27 September following the May recall referendum that removed prior Civic Coalition mayor Aleksander Miszalski, features a fragmented field of more than two dozen declared candidates from parties including KO, PiS, New Left, and independents. With no single contender exceeding low-30s implied probability and “Other” at 50%, trader consensus reflects the absence of a dominant frontrunner ahead of the first round and potential runoff. Recent candidate announcements and committee formations have not produced decisive polling separation, while historical patterns of Polish local races with high candidate counts and low name recognition sustain the tight positioning. Upcoming registration deadlines and early campaigning in August could begin to consolidate support around better-known figures.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$1,147
Data di fine
27 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.The 2026 Kraków mayoral election, scheduled for 27 September following the May recall referendum that removed prior Civic Coalition mayor Aleksander Miszalski, features a fragmented field of more than two dozen declared candidates from parties including KO, PiS, New Left, and independents. With no single contender exceeding low-30s implied probability and “Other” at 50%, trader consensus reflects the absence of a dominant frontrunner ahead of the first round and potential runoff. Recent candidate announcements and committee formations have not produced decisive polling separation, while historical patterns of Polish local races with high candidate counts and low name recognition sustain the tight positioning. Upcoming registration deadlines and early campaigning in August could begin to consolidate support around better-known figures.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$1,147
Data di fine
27 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Daria Gosek-Popiołek" a 33%, seguito da "Jan Hoffman" a 33%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 33¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 33% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 6, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia" è "Daria Gosek-Popiołek" a 33%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 33% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Jan Hoffman" a 33%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Cracovia" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.