Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official multilingual X accounts, including @khamenei_ir and affiliated channels, have maintained low posting volumes since his death in a February 2026 strike, focusing primarily on archival statements, memorial content, and occasional translations rather than daily original output. Recent activity around the 40-day commemoration in mid-August produced a modest cluster of videos and messages, yet overall frequency remains limited to several posts per week across platforms. With no scheduled high-profile events, diplomatic summits, or escalations projected for late August through early September, trader consensus reflects these established patterns by heavily favoring under five posts in the resolution window. Historical base rates for the accounts show similar restraint outside crisis periods, reinforcing the implied probability that activity will stay minimal absent unforeseen triggers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKhamenei # posts 25 agosto - 1 settembre 2026?
Khamenei # posts 25 agosto - 1 settembre 2026?
<5 77%
5-9 21%
10-14 5%
20-24 2.6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
<5
77%
5-9
21%
10-14
5%
15-19
1%
20-24
3%
25-29
2%
30-34
3%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 77%
5-9 21%
10-14 5%
20-24 2.6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
<5
$563 Vol.
77%
5-9
$49 Vol.
21%
10-14
$55 Vol.
5%
15-19
$73 Vol.
1%
20-24
$54 Vol.
3%
25-29
$44 Vol.
2%
30-34
$54 Vol.
3%
35-39
$10 Vol.
1%
40-44
$29 Vol.
1%
45-49
$29 Vol.
1%
50-54
$19 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$19 Vol.
<1%
60+
$19 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official multilingual X accounts, including @khamenei_ir and affiliated channels, have maintained low posting volumes since his death in a February 2026 strike, focusing primarily on archival statements, memorial content, and occasional translations rather than daily original output. Recent activity around the 40-day commemoration in mid-August produced a modest cluster of videos and messages, yet overall frequency remains limited to several posts per week across platforms. With no scheduled high-profile events, diplomatic summits, or escalations projected for late August through early September, trader consensus reflects these established patterns by heavily favoring under five posts in the resolution window. Historical base rates for the accounts show similar restraint outside crisis periods, reinforcing the implied probability that activity will stay minimal absent unforeseen triggers.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,019Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official multilingual X accounts, including @khamenei_ir and affiliated channels, have maintained low posting volumes since his death in a February 2026 strike, focusing primarily on archival statements, memorial content, and occasional translations rather than daily original output. Recent activity around the 40-day commemoration in mid-August produced a modest cluster of videos and messages, yet overall frequency remains limited to several posts per week across platforms. With no scheduled high-profile events, diplomatic summits, or escalations projected for late August through early September, trader consensus reflects these established patterns by heavily favoring under five posts in the resolution window. Historical base rates for the accounts show similar restraint outside crisis periods, reinforcing the implied probability that activity will stay minimal absent unforeseen triggers.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,019Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official multilingual X accounts, including @khamenei_ir and affiliated channels, have maintained low posting volumes since his death in a February 2026 strike, focusing primarily on archival statements, memorial content, and occasional translations rather than daily original output. Recent activity around the 40-day commemoration in mid-August produced a modest cluster of videos and messages, yet overall frequency remains limited to several posts per week across platforms. With no scheduled high-profile events, diplomatic summits, or escalations projected for late August through early September, trader consensus reflects these established patterns by heavily favoring under five posts in the resolution window. Historical base rates for the accounts show similar restraint outside crisis periods, reinforcing the implied probability that activity will stay minimal absent unforeseen triggers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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