**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's highest temperature on September 5, 2026, centers on 21°C (68% implied probability) due to real-time forecast consensus from models like GFS showing an afternoon peak near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate westerly winds.** Official and station data indicate current readings in the 18–19°C range mid-morning, with limited diurnal rise expected as cloud cover (often 50–80%) and 25–30 km/h winds suppress heating. This aligns with early September climatology, where the average high sits around 20–22°C, without anomalous warm advection or clear skies that would push values higher. Recent model runs and observational updates have reinforced this narrow band, reducing odds of outliers like 22°C or 20°C while keeping 21°C as the mode. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum from Warsaw's primary station (typically Chopin Airport or central observations), with any late-day clearing or shower timing as the main remaining variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 5 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 5 settembre?
21°C 68%
22°C 19%
20°C 17%
19°C <1%
$11,013 Vol.
$11,013 Vol.
5 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
17%
21°C
68%
22°C
19%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
21°C 68%
22°C 19%
20°C 17%
19°C <1%
$11,013 Vol.
$11,013 Vol.
5 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
$399 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$515 Vol.
1%
20°C
$2,238 Vol.
17%
21°C
$3,301 Vol.
68%
22°C
$2,256 Vol.
19%
23°C
$766 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$456 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$527 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
28°C o superiore
$195 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's highest temperature on September 5, 2026, centers on 21°C (68% implied probability) due to real-time forecast consensus from models like GFS showing an afternoon peak near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate westerly winds.**
Official and station data indicate current readings in the 18–19°C range mid-morning, with limited diurnal rise expected as cloud cover (often 50–80%) and 25–30 km/h winds suppress heating. This aligns with early September climatology, where the average high sits around 20–22°C, without anomalous warm advection or clear skies that would push values higher.
Recent model runs and observational updates have reinforced this narrow band, reducing odds of outliers like 22°C or 20°C while keeping 21°C as the mode. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum from Warsaw's primary station (typically Chopin Airport or central observations), with any late-day clearing or shower timing as the main remaining variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$11,013Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's highest temperature on September 5, 2026, centers on 21°C (68% implied probability) due to real-time forecast consensus from models like GFS showing an afternoon peak near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate westerly winds.**
Official and station data indicate current readings in the 18–19°C range mid-morning, with limited diurnal rise expected as cloud cover (often 50–80%) and 25–30 km/h winds suppress heating. This aligns with early September climatology, where the average high sits around 20–22°C, without anomalous warm advection or clear skies that would push values higher.
Recent model runs and observational updates have reinforced this narrow band, reducing odds of outliers like 22°C or 20°C while keeping 21°C as the mode. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum from Warsaw's primary station (typically Chopin Airport or central observations), with any late-day clearing or shower timing as the main remaining variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,013Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Warsaw's highest temperature on September 5, 2026, centers on 21°C (68% implied probability) due to real-time forecast consensus from models like GFS showing an afternoon peak near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and moderate westerly winds.** Official and station data indicate current readings in the 18–19°C range mid-morning, with limited diurnal rise expected as cloud cover (often 50–80%) and 25–30 km/h winds suppress heating. This aligns with early September climatology, where the average high sits around 20–22°C, without anomalous warm advection or clear skies that would push values higher. Recent model runs and observational updates have reinforced this narrow band, reducing odds of outliers like 22°C or 20°C while keeping 21°C as the mode. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum from Warsaw's primary station (typically Chopin Airport or central observations), with any late-day clearing or shower timing as the main remaining variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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