Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Weather Underground position the highest temperature in San Francisco on August 15 near 68–70°F, aligning with the market’s leading bins around 66–71°F. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the cool Pacific continue to moderate conditions, suppressing afternoon highs below inland values despite seasonal norms near 70°F. Recent August 2026 data show typical summer variability without strong offshore warming or heat-wave signals, keeping probabilities concentrated in this range while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely absent rapid model shifts. Traders will watch the next NWS forecast updates and any changes in marine layer depth for final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di San Francisco il 15 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di San Francisco il 15 agosto?
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 23%
70-71°F 22%
72-73°F 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
59°F o inferiore
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
23%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F o superiore
<1%
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 23%
70-71°F 22%
72-73°F 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
59°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$10 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$232 Vol.
4%
64-65°F
$9 Vol.
6%
66-67°F
$77 Vol.
23%
68-69°F
$14 Vol.
37%
70-71°F
$16 Vol.
22%
72-73°F
$200 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$155 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$160 Vol.
<1%
78°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Weather Underground position the highest temperature in San Francisco on August 15 near 68–70°F, aligning with the market’s leading bins around 66–71°F. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the cool Pacific continue to moderate conditions, suppressing afternoon highs below inland values despite seasonal norms near 70°F. Recent August 2026 data show typical summer variability without strong offshore warming or heat-wave signals, keeping probabilities concentrated in this range while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely absent rapid model shifts. Traders will watch the next NWS forecast updates and any changes in marine layer depth for final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$873Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Weather Underground position the highest temperature in San Francisco on August 15 near 68–70°F, aligning with the market’s leading bins around 66–71°F. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the cool Pacific continue to moderate conditions, suppressing afternoon highs below inland values despite seasonal norms near 70°F. Recent August 2026 data show typical summer variability without strong offshore warming or heat-wave signals, keeping probabilities concentrated in this range while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely absent rapid model shifts. Traders will watch the next NWS forecast updates and any changes in marine layer depth for final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$873Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Weather Underground position the highest temperature in San Francisco on August 15 near 68–70°F, aligning with the market’s leading bins around 66–71°F. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the cool Pacific continue to moderate conditions, suppressing afternoon highs below inland values despite seasonal norms near 70°F. Recent August 2026 data show typical summer variability without strong offshore warming or heat-wave signals, keeping probabilities concentrated in this range while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely absent rapid model shifts. Traders will watch the next NWS forecast updates and any changes in marine layer depth for final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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