Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to a daytime high near 91°F on August 15 under partly cloudy skies with southeast flow and a modest thunderstorm chance, aligning with the market's strong preference for 92–93°F. Persistent warmth across South Florida, including a 94°F reading on August 13 and heat indices above 100°F, has kept the upper end of the normal August range (climatological average high near 89–91°F) in play. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk from stronger insolation or delayed convection supporting the secondary 94–95°F bucket, while lower bins reflect the low likelihood of significant cooling from increased moisture or a tropical wave passage. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will provide the next key data points before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Miami il 15 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Miami il 15 agosto?
92-93°F 60%
90-91°F 24%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
60%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
1%
98°F o superiore
1%
92-93°F 60%
90-91°F 24%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
79°F or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$153 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$48 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$153 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$80 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$412 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$409 Vol.
24%
92-93°F
$2,095 Vol.
60%
94-95°F
$242 Vol.
14%
96-97°F
$76 Vol.
1%
98°F o superiore
$30 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to a daytime high near 91°F on August 15 under partly cloudy skies with southeast flow and a modest thunderstorm chance, aligning with the market's strong preference for 92–93°F. Persistent warmth across South Florida, including a 94°F reading on August 13 and heat indices above 100°F, has kept the upper end of the normal August range (climatological average high near 89–91°F) in play. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk from stronger insolation or delayed convection supporting the secondary 94–95°F bucket, while lower bins reflect the low likelihood of significant cooling from increased moisture or a tropical wave passage. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will provide the next key data points before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,738Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to a daytime high near 91°F on August 15 under partly cloudy skies with southeast flow and a modest thunderstorm chance, aligning with the market's strong preference for 92–93°F. Persistent warmth across South Florida, including a 94°F reading on August 13 and heat indices above 100°F, has kept the upper end of the normal August range (climatological average high near 89–91°F) in play. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk from stronger insolation or delayed convection supporting the secondary 94–95°F bucket, while lower bins reflect the low likelihood of significant cooling from increased moisture or a tropical wave passage. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will provide the next key data points before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,738Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to a daytime high near 91°F on August 15 under partly cloudy skies with southeast flow and a modest thunderstorm chance, aligning with the market's strong preference for 92–93°F. Persistent warmth across South Florida, including a 94°F reading on August 13 and heat indices above 100°F, has kept the upper end of the normal August range (climatological average high near 89–91°F) in play. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk from stronger insolation or delayed convection supporting the secondary 94–95°F bucket, while lower bins reflect the low likelihood of significant cooling from increased moisture or a tropical wave passage. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will provide the next key data points before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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