Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum in Chengdu around 28–30°C on July 30, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit peak heating in the Sichuan Basin. Model consensus shows modest disagreement on exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the high by 1–2°C depending on convective development and local topography. These conditions align with typical late-July patterns of humid subtropical flow, where afternoon instability often caps temperatures below clear-sky potential. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C bins because ensemble spreads remain wide just 48 hours ahead, and new model runs or observational updates could readily tip the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 30 luglio?
30°C 23%
28°C 22%
27°C 20%
29°C 16%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
12%
26°C
12%
27°C
20%
28°C
22%
29°C
16%
30°C
23%
31°C or higher
16%
30°C 23%
28°C 22%
27°C 20%
29°C 16%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
12%
26°C
12%
27°C
20%
28°C
22%
29°C
16%
30°C
23%
31°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum in Chengdu around 28–30°C on July 30, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit peak heating in the Sichuan Basin. Model consensus shows modest disagreement on exact timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the high by 1–2°C depending on convective development and local topography. These conditions align with typical late-July patterns of humid subtropical flow, where afternoon instability often caps temperatures below clear-sky potential. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C bins because ensemble spreads remain wide just 48 hours ahead, and new model runs or observational updates could readily tip the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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